Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück: match statistics
Osnabrück is the decisive favorite of this meeting, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 58% wins away. The visitors present excellent form with 2.2 points per match in the last 5 meetings (3 wins, 2 draws) and a scoring efficiency at the level of 1.92 goals per away match. Erzgebirge Aue finds itself in a dramatic situation in 17th position, without a victory in the last 5 matches (0.4 points per match) and with only 31% wins at home. The hosts have a problem with finishing actions (10% shot conversion compared to 15% for the visitors) and have not scored a goal in 46% of home matches. The difference in goal difference (+8 for Osnabrück away compared to -1 for Aue at home) and the clear advantage in form and quality of the visiting team speak for their victory in this match.
Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Erzgebirge Aue played against Osnabrück in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Erzgebirge Aue has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Osnabrück has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.60. Osnabrück scores 1.52 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 3.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Erzgebirge Aue's games and 40% of Osnabrück's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 44%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Osnabrück has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.46 per game. Erzgebirge Aue takes 12.0 shots per game, while Osnabrück takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Erzgebirge Aue leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Osnabrück leads at halftime in 32% and scores 1.04 after halftime.
When the teams score
Erzgebirge Aue's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Osnabrück, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.15 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Osnabrück is the decisive favorite of this meeting, occupying 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 58% wins away. The visitors present excellent form with 2.2 points per match in the last 5 meetings (3 wins, 2 draws) and a scoring efficiency at the level of 1.92 goals per away match. Erzgebirge Aue finds itself in a dramatic situation in 17th position, without a victory in the last 5 matches (0.4 points per match) and with only 31% wins at home. The hosts have a problem with finishing actions (10% shot conversion compared to 15% for the visitors) and have not scored a goal in 46% of home matches. The difference in goal difference (+8 for Osnabrück away compared to -1 for Aue at home) and the clear advantage in form and quality of the visiting team speak for their victory in this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Erzgebirge Aue | Osnabrück | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Osnabrück is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Erzgebirge Aue · 2.2 pts / game - Osnabrück
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Osnabrück is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.12 goals / game - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.52 goals / game - Osnabrück
Osnabrück is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - Erzgebirge Aue · 0.96 goals / game - Osnabrück
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Osnabrück keeps a clean sheet in 52% (13 of 25 meczów).
Osnabrück scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
Over / Under - Osnabrück
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Osnabrück is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.44 pts / game - Osnabrück
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 20%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Osnabrück - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Erzgebirge Aue
Osnabrück
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Erzgebirge Aue | Liga | Osnabrück | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.72 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 64% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 22% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Erzgebirge Aue's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Osnabrück. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück?
The 3. Liga match finished Erzgebirge Aue 1:3 Osnabrück. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück?
Erzgebirge Aue score 1.12 goals per game on average and Osnabrück 1.52. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Erzgebirge Aue's matches and 40% of Osnabrück's.
What form are Erzgebirge Aue and Osnabrück in?
Over the last 5 games Erzgebirge Aue have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Osnabrück 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.