Denmark - 1st DivisionBlue Water ArenaData current as of October 20, 2026

Esbjerg vs Fredericia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Esbjerg vs Fredericia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Esbjerg plays Fredericia in 1st Division (Denmark). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Blue Water Arena.

Recent form

Esbjerg has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Fredericia has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Esbjerg scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 2.00. Fredericia scores 1.55 and allows 0.55. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Esbjerg's games and 36% of Fredericia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 45%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fredericia has the higher season xG average, 2.55 to 1.36 per game. Esbjerg takes 11.7 shots per game, while Fredericia takes 23.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Esbjerg leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Fredericia leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.91 after halftime.

When the teams score

Esbjerg's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Fredericia, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1st Division games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.11)
(4.00)
(1.69)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

EsbjergFredericia
1.18Goals scored / game1.55
EsbjergFredericia
2Goals allowed / game0.55
EsbjergFredericia
47%Average possession57%
EsbjergFredericia
4.36Shots on target / game8.55
EsbjergFredericia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.73Shots per game23.18
EsbjergFredericia
4.36Shots on target8.55
EsbjergFredericia
10.1%Shot conversion6.7%
EsbjergFredericia
47%Possession57%
EsbjergFredericia
1.36xG for2.55
EsbjergFredericia
1.88xG against1.13
EsbjergFredericia

Shooting quality

Esbjerg: BalancedFredericia: Dominant
EsbjergFredericia
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fredericia is 267% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Esbjerg · 2.2 pts / game - Fredericia

Esbjerg
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
9% W36% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-6
0.64 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Fredericia
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
45% W45% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-1
1.82 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.31Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fredericia is 31% better for: goals scored per game.

1.18 goals / game - Esbjerg · 1.55 goals / game - Fredericia

Fredericia is 264% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Esbjerg · 0.55 goals / game - Fredericia

Esbjerg scoring profile: mixed

Esbjerg scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Fredericia keeps a clean sheet in 64% (7 of 11 games).

Fredericia scoring profile: very strong

Fredericia scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 games), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).

13Goals scored (season)17
EsbjergFredericia
22Goals conceded (season)6
EsbjergFredericia
3.18Average goals per game2.09
EsbjergFredericia
5Goals scored (last 5)8
EsbjergFredericia
9Goals conceded (last 5)2
EsbjergFredericia

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal82%
EsbjergFredericia
36%2 goals45%
EsbjergFredericia
18%3 goals27%
EsbjergFredericia
0%4 goals0%
EsbjergFredericia

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal36%
EsbjergFredericia
73%2 goals18%
EsbjergFredericia
27%3 goals0%
EsbjergFredericia
9%4 goals0%
EsbjergFredericia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time9%
EsbjergFredericia
18%BTTS in both halves9%
EsbjergFredericia
36%Scored in both halves9%
EsbjergFredericia

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
EsbjergFredericia
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
EsbjergFredericia
40%BTTS - last 520%
EsbjergFredericia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
EsbjergFredericia
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
EsbjergFredericia
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
EsbjergFredericia

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
EsbjergFredericia
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
EsbjergFredericia
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
EsbjergFredericia

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fredericia is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / game - Esbjerg · 1.36 pts / game - Fredericia

Esbjerg - half-time state
18% leading64% draw18% trailing
Fredericia - half-time state
27% leading55% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per game (1st half)1.36
EsbjergFredericia
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.64
EsbjergFredericia
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
EsbjergFredericia
1.18Average goals (1st half)0.91
EsbjergFredericia
55%Clean sheet before half-time73%
EsbjergFredericia
55%No goal before half-time64%
EsbjergFredericia

After half-time (2nd half)

0.27Points per game (2nd half)1.82
EsbjergFredericia
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
EsbjergFredericia
1.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.27
EsbjergFredericia
2Average goals (2nd half)1.18
EsbjergFredericia
18%Clean sheet after half-time82%
EsbjergFredericia
45%No goal after half-time45%
EsbjergFredericia

Esbjerg - second-half results

0% W27% D73% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 9%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.9

Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fredericia - second-half results

45% W45% D9% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Esbjerg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.40
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fredericia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game1.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Esbjerg
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
0
31-45
4
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Fredericia
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
5
1
46-60
4
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Esbjerg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Fredericia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
40%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

EsbjergLigaFredericia
Average goals per game▲ 3.182.73▼ 2.09
Both teams scored▲ 64%59%▼ 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%53%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▼ 9%26%▲ 64%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%76%▼ 55%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%73%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Esbjerg's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fredericia. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Esbjerg and Fredericia play?

Esbjerg face Fredericia on October 24, 2026 in 1st Division at Blue Water Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Esbjerg vs Fredericia?

Esbjerg score 1.18 goals per game on average and Fredericia 1.55. The 1st Division average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Esbjerg's matches and 36% of Fredericia's.

What form are Esbjerg and Fredericia in?

Over the last 5 games Esbjerg have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Fredericia 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esbjerg vs Fredericia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.