Esbjerg vs Horsens: match statistics
The analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Esbjerg presents solid home form with 56% wins and an average of 1.67 goals per match, though their defense raises doubts (1.44 goals conceded on average). Horsens stands out with phenomenal away defense, conceding only 0.56 goals on average with 56% clean sheets, making them a difficult opponent. The guests have a better goal difference (+5 vs +2) and slightly better form in the last five matches (1.4 vs 1.2 PPG). Horsens' high percentage of away draws (22%) and balanced possession (51% vs 48%) suggest the encounter may end in a split of points. Given the guests' solid defense and the hosts' decent offense, I expect a tight, competitive match.
Esbjerg vs Horsens: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Esbjerg played against Horsens in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Esbjerg has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Horsens has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Esbjerg scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.39. Horsens scores 1.33 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Esbjerg's games and 39% of Horsens's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 44%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Esbjerg has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.50 per game. Esbjerg takes 12.9 shots per game, while Horsens takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Esbjerg leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Horsens leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Esbjerg's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Horsens, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Esbjerg presents solid home form with 56% wins and an average of 1.67 goals per match, though their defense raises doubts (1.44 goals conceded on average). Horsens stands out with phenomenal away defense, conceding only 0.56 goals on average with 56% clean sheets, making them a difficult opponent. The guests have a better goal difference (+5 vs +2) and slightly better form in the last five matches (1.4 vs 1.2 PPG). Horsens' high percentage of away draws (22%) and balanced possession (51% vs 48%) suggest the encounter may end in a split of points. Given the guests' solid defense and the hosts' decent offense, I expect a tight, competitive match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Esbjerg | Horsens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Esbjerg is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Esbjerg · 1.4 pts / game - Horsens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esbjerg is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Esbjerg · 1.33 goals / game - Horsens
Horsens is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.39 goals / game - Esbjerg · 0.83 goals / game - Horsens
Esbjerg scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Horsens keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 meczów).
Horsens scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esbjerg
Over / Under - Horsens
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Horsens is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Esbjerg · 1.72 pts / game - Horsens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Horsens - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Esbjerg
Horsens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Esbjerg | Liga | Horsens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.83 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Esbjerg's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Horsens. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Esbjerg vs Horsens?
The 1st Division match finished Esbjerg 2:1 Horsens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Esbjerg vs Horsens?
Esbjerg score 1.44 goals per game on average and Horsens 1.33. The 1st Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Esbjerg's matches and 39% of Horsens's.
What form are Esbjerg and Horsens in?
Over the last 5 games Esbjerg have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Horsens 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esbjerg vs Horsens?
The statistical background for Esbjerg vs Horsens — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.