Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin: match statistics
As hosts, Esteghlal presents solid form with 44% wins and only 11% losses at home, averaging 1.33 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 44% of games. Shams Azar Qazvin has very poor offensive efficiency on the road – averaging just 0.33 goals per match with a failure-to-score rate of 67%, making them one of the least dangerous away sides. Although the visitors boast an impressive 78% clean sheet record in away games and haven't conceded in their last 5 matches, their defensive approach and low shot conversion (9%) suggest they will play for a draw. Esteghlal, with an xG advantage (1.15 vs 0.81) and better scoring form, should break down the visitors' defense, though Shams Azar's solid backline makes a draw a realistic scenario. Considering all factors, the hosts have the best chance of winning, but it will not be an easy encounter.
Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Esteghlal played against Shams Azar Qazvin in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The game was played on February 5, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Esteghlal has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Shams Azar Qazvin has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Esteghlal scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 0.74. Shams Azar Qazvin scores 0.68 and allows 0.68. Games in this league average 1.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Esteghlal's games and 32% of Shams Azar Qazvin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 26% and 11%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Esteghlal has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 0.94 per game. Esteghlal takes 3.1 shots per game, while Shams Azar Qazvin takes 3.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Esteghlal leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Shams Azar Qazvin leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Esteghlal's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Shams Azar Qazvin, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Persian Gulf Pro League games average 1.73 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As hosts, Esteghlal presents solid form with 44% wins and only 11% losses at home, averaging 1.33 goals per match while keeping clean sheets in 44% of games. Shams Azar Qazvin has very poor offensive efficiency on the road – averaging just 0.33 goals per match with a failure-to-score rate of 67%, making them one of the least dangerous away sides. Although the visitors boast an impressive 78% clean sheet record in away games and haven't conceded in their last 5 matches, their defensive approach and low shot conversion (9%) suggest they will play for a draw. Esteghlal, with an xG advantage (1.15 vs 0.81) and better scoring form, should break down the visitors' defense, though Shams Azar's solid backline makes a draw a realistic scenario. Considering all factors, the hosts have the best chance of winning, but it will not be an easy encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Esteghlal | Shams Azar Qazvin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.76 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Shams Azar Qazvin is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Esteghlal · 1.8 pts / game - Shams Azar Qazvin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal is 63% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Esteghlal · 0.68 goals / game - Shams Azar Qazvin
Shams Azar Qazvin is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.74 goals / game - Esteghlal · 0.68 goals / game - Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Shams Azar Qazvin keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 meczów).
Shams Azar Qazvin scores in 47% of games (9 of 19 meczów), while Esteghlal keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esteghlal
Over / Under - Shams Azar Qazvin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / game - Esteghlal · 0.84 pts / game - Shams Azar Qazvin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esteghlal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Shams Azar Qazvin - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Esteghlal
Shams Azar Qazvin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Esteghlal | Liga | Shams Azar Qazvin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.84 | 1.73 | ▼ 1.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 26% | 26% | ▼ 11% |
| Clean sheets | • 42% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Esteghlal's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Shams Azar Qazvin. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Esteghlal 3:2 Shams Azar Qazvin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Esteghlal score 1.11 goals per game on average and Shams Azar Qazvin 0.68. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Esteghlal's matches and 32% of Shams Azar Qazvin's.
What form are Esteghlal and Shams Azar Qazvin in?
Over the last 5 games Esteghlal have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Shams Azar Qazvin 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The statistical background for Esteghlal vs Shams Azar Qazvin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.