Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Sporting Braga demonstrates superior form and quality on the road. The visitors are averaging 2 points per match in their last 5 fixtures compared to just 1.4 for the hosts, reflecting better condition. Braga dominates in possession (67% vs 56%), conversion rate (11% vs 8%), and average away goals (1.75 vs Estrela's 1.25 at home). Additionally, xG validates the visitors' edge (1.81 vs 1.51), and their away goal difference (+6) vastly outperforms Estrela's home record (+1). Estrela Amadora holds a mere 25% home win rate with 38% losses, while Braga wins 38% of their away matches. All key metrics favor Sporting Braga, making an away win the most likely scenario for this clash.
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Estrela Amadora played against Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Estrela Amadora has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Sporting Braga has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Estrela Amadora scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.50. Sporting Braga scores 1.75 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Estrela Amadora's games and 50% of Sporting Braga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 63%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sporting Braga has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.22 per game. Estrela Amadora takes 11.6 shots per game, while Sporting Braga takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Estrela Amadora leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Sporting Braga leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Estrela Amadora's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Sporting Braga, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga demonstrates superior form and quality on the road. The visitors are averaging 2 points per match in their last 5 fixtures compared to just 1.4 for the hosts, reflecting better condition. Braga dominates in possession (67% vs 56%), conversion rate (11% vs 8%), and average away goals (1.75 vs Estrela's 1.25 at home). Additionally, xG validates the visitors' edge (1.81 vs 1.51), and their away goal difference (+6) vastly outperforms Estrela's home record (+1). Estrela Amadora holds a mere 25% home win rate with 38% losses, while Braga wins 38% of their away matches. All key metrics favor Sporting Braga, making an away win the most likely scenario for this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sporting Braga is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Estrela Amadora · 2 pts / game - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Estrela Amadora · 1.75 goals / game - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Estrela Amadora · 0.94 goals / game - Sporting Braga
Estrela Amadora scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
Sporting Braga scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Estrela Amadora · 1.44 pts / game - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Estrela Amadora
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.75 | 2.70 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished Estrela Amadora 3:3 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
Estrela Amadora score 1.25 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 1.75. The Liga NOS average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 50% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sporting Braga 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
The statistical background for Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.