Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown: match statistics
Almirante Brown presents significantly better form with a record of 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches, earning 1.6 points per game, while Estudiantes Caseros has a disastrous streak of 4 losses in the last 5 meetings and just 0.6 points per match. The hosts have not yet achieved any victory nor scored a goal in the current home season, indicating serious offensive problems. Almirante Brown has a positive overall record (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses) and better scoring efficiency (6 goals in the last 5 matches). Although the hosts can count on the support of their own fans, their current form and statistics clearly favor the visitors, who should win this meeting or at least secure a draw.
Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes Caseros play Almirante Brown in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Estudiantes Caseros: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Almirante Brown: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.86 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Almirante Brown scores 0.71 and concedes 0.62. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes Caseros 29%, Almirante Brown 29%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Caseros 24%, Almirante Brown 19%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Almirante Brown has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.10. Estudiantes Caseros: 8.8 shots per match, Almirante Brown: 9.9.
Match halves
Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38. Almirante Brown: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes Caseros: 16-30 (4 goals). Almirante Brown: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Almirante Brown presents significantly better form with a record of 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches, earning 1.6 points per game, while Estudiantes Caseros has a disastrous streak of 4 losses in the last 5 meetings and just 0.6 points per match. The hosts have not yet achieved any victory nor scored a goal in the current home season, indicating serious offensive problems. Almirante Brown has a positive overall record (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses) and better scoring efficiency (6 goals in the last 5 matches). Although the hosts can count on the support of their own fans, their current form and statistics clearly favor the visitors, who should win this meeting or at least secure a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Caseros | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Caseros is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 0.71 goals / match - Almirante Brown
Almirante Brown is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 0.62 goals / match - Almirante Brown
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Almirante Brown keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Almirante Brown scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Estudiantes Caseros
Over / Under — Almirante Brown
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almirante Brown is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.38 pts / match - Almirante Brown
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Almirante Brown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes Caseros
Almirante Brown
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Caseros | Liga | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 39% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | • 57% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Estudiantes Caseros 2 - 1 - 0 Almirante Brown. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Estudiantes Caseros 0:1 Almirante Brown. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes Caseros and Almirante Brown?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Caseros won 2, Almirante Brown won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown?
Estudiantes Caseros score 0.86 goals per game on average and Almirante Brown 0.71. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Estudiantes Caseros's matches and 29% of Almirante Brown's.
What form are Estudiantes Caseros and Almirante Brown in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Caseros have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Almirante Brown 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown?
The statistical background for Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


