Estudiantes Mérida vs Carabobo: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest leaning towards a draw. Estudiantes Merida presents poor home form (0% home wins, 67% losses), putting them in a difficult situation. Carabobo, on the other hand, remains undefeated on the road (100% draws in away matches), demonstrating a solid defense (0.67 goals conceded on average). The hosts have a better xG ratio in home matches (1.4 vs 1.08), but their poor finishing (8% conversion rate) and weak form (dll) are concerning. The visitors dominate ball possession (55%) and register more shots on target (6.67 vs 2.67), but their low efficiency (3% conversion rate) and difficulties in scoring away goals (0.67 goals on average) suggest they might struggle to break through the hosts' defense. Given Carabobo's tendency to draw and both teams' weakness in the final third, a split of points is the most probable outcome.
Estudiantes Mérida vs Carabobo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Estudiantes Mérida played against Carabobo in Primera División (Venezuela). The game was played on March 17, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Estudiantes Mérida has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Carabobo has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.43. Carabobo scores 1.14 and allows 0.29. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Estudiantes Mérida's games and 29% of Carabobo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 14%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carabobo has the higher season xG average, 2.04 to 1.16 per game. Estudiantes Mérida takes 10.4 shots per game, while Carabobo takes 19.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Estudiantes Mérida leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Carabobo leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Estudiantes Mérida's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Carabobo, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest leaning towards a draw. Estudiantes Merida presents poor home form (0% home wins, 67% losses), putting them in a difficult situation. Carabobo, on the other hand, remains undefeated on the road (100% draws in away matches), demonstrating a solid defense (0.67 goals conceded on average). The hosts have a better xG ratio in home matches (1.4 vs 1.08), but their poor finishing (8% conversion rate) and weak form (dll) are concerning. The visitors dominate ball possession (55%) and register more shots on target (6.67 vs 2.67), but their low efficiency (3% conversion rate) and difficulties in scoring away goals (0.67 goals on average) suggest they might struggle to break through the hosts' defense. Given Carabobo's tendency to draw and both teams' weakness in the final third, a split of points is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Mérida | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carabobo is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 1.8 pts / game - Carabobo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Mérida is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.57 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 1.14 goals / game - Carabobo
Carabobo is 393% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 0.29 goals / game - Carabobo
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 meczów).
Carabobo scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
Over / Under - Carabobo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Carabobo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Estudiantes Mérida
Carabobo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Mérida | Liga | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.43 | ▼ 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 49% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 32% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 68% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Estudiantes Mérida's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Carabobo. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Mérida vs Carabobo?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes Mérida 3:2 Carabobo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes Mérida and Carabobo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Mérida won 0, Carabobo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Mérida vs Carabobo?
Estudiantes Mérida score 1.57 goals per game on average and Carabobo 1.14. The Primera División average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Estudiantes Mérida's matches and 29% of Carabobo's.
What form are Estudiantes Mérida and Carabobo in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Mérida have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carabobo 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Mérida vs Carabobo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estudiantes Mérida vs Carabobo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.