Estudiantes Mérida vs Monagas: match statistics
Estudiantes Mérida vs Monagas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Estudiantes Mérida played against Monagas in Primera División (Venezuela). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Estudiantes Mérida has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Monagas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 1.27. Monagas scores 1.00 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Estudiantes Mérida's games and 36% of Monagas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 55%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Monagas has the higher season xG average, 1.21 to 1.16 per game. Estudiantes Mérida takes 10.1 shots per game, while Monagas takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Estudiantes Mérida leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Monagas leads at halftime in 9% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Estudiantes Mérida's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Monagas, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estudiantes Mérida has a clear home advantage: they average 1.6 goals per match, register 3.6 shots on target and have xG 1.4, whereas Monagas on the road average only 0.2 goals, 2.4 shots on target and xG 1.0. The difference in shooting efficiency is significant — the hosts convert about 13% of their attempts and have 18 goals this season, while the visitors convert just 2% and have 11 goals; additionally Monagas fail to score in 80% of their away games. Defensively Monagas concede on average 2.0 goals away versus 1.6 conceded by Estudiantes at home, with xG against 1.28 vs 1.20, which indicates a greater threat from the visitors’ perspective. Form supports the home side’s advantage — Estudiantes in the last 5 matches have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (8 goals scored, 2.0 pts/match), while Monagas in the last 5 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (6 goals, 1.4 pts/match) and simultaneously a run of 5 consecutive away defeats. Therefore I estimate the probabilities as: home win ~70%, draw 15%, Monagas win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Monagas averages 0.2 goals per away match and failed to score in 80% of away games, while Estudiantes Mérida score 1.67 goals at home on average and have 50% of home matches with BTTS. The hosts have a higher xG (1.38 vs 1.00), register more shots on target (4.5 vs 2.4) and convert them better (11% vs 2%), so Estudiantes are likely to score at least once. However the key signal is Monagas’s seasonal profile: only 20% of matches with BTTS and fully 80% of away games without scoring, which significantly reduces the probability of both teams scoring. As a result the 'No' scenario is stronger — I assign 25% probability to BTTS (Yes) and 75% to No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG indicate 1.33 goals for Estudiantes (xG_for 1.38 and opponent xG_against 1.28) and 1.11 for Monagas (xG_for 1.00 and home xG_against 1.21), totaling 2.44 expected goals. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.44 yields roughly a 70% probability of at least 2 goals in the match, consistent with seasonal Over 1.5 rates: home side 83% and away side 60%. Additionally, Estudiantes averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes 1.33 per match, while Monagas concedes 2.00 on average, which increases the likelihood of at least two strikes. I estimate Over 2.5 at ~44% (Over 3.5 ~23%), therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Estudiantes average 1.67 goals per match versus Monagas 0.20, xG 1.38 versus 1.00, and more shots and shots on target (14.83 and 4.5 vs 10.2 and 2.4), giving the home side a clear offensive advantage. This edge is especially evident after the break: the hosts score on average 1.33 goals in the second half versus the visitors’ 0.2, and 100% of Estudiantes’ matches have featured at least one goal after the break (Monagas 80%), so I expect most goals after the 45th minute. In the first half both teams score little — first-half goals average 0.33 for the hosts and 0.0 for the visitors — which points to a high probability of a draw at half-time. Monagas have no wins this season (0% wins) and register only 0.2 goals per match with a shot conversion of 2%, therefore I expect Estudiantes to produce the turnaround after the break, hence X/1 is my strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes Mérida | Monagas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Estudiantes Mérida is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 1.4 pts / game - Monagas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Mérida is 64% better for: goals scored per game.
1.64 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 1 goals / game - Monagas
Estudiantes Mérida is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.27 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 1.64 goals / game - Monagas
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 meczów), while Monagas keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
Monagas scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 meczów), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
Over / Under - Monagas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes Mérida is 147% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Estudiantes Mérida · 0.55 pts / game - Monagas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Monagas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Estudiantes Mérida
Monagas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes Mérida | Liga | Monagas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.91 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 50% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Estudiantes Mérida's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Monagas. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes Mérida vs Monagas?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes Mérida 3:2 Monagas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes Mérida and Monagas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Mérida won 1, Monagas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Mérida vs Monagas?
Estudiantes Mérida score 1.64 goals per game on average and Monagas 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Estudiantes Mérida's matches and 36% of Monagas's.
What form are Estudiantes Mérida and Monagas in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Mérida have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Monagas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Mérida vs Monagas?
The statistical background for Estudiantes Mérida vs Monagas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.