Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced contest between Estudiantes and Boca Juniors. Both teams started the season solidly – Estudiantes with a 1:1 draw and Boca Juniors with a 1:0 victory, highlighting their defensive stability. Form over the last five matches slightly favors the visitors (2.4 PPG vs 2.2 PPG for the hosts), but Boca Juniors suffered a defeat in their last outing, which could impact confidence. Estudiantes boasts a solid unbeaten run in their last five matches (3W-2D), giving them a psychological edge before their home crowd. Considering the quality of both teams, their defensive approach early in the season, and their historical rivalry, the most probable scenario is a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estudiantes play Boca Juniors in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 29 January 2026 at 02:15. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Estudiantes: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Boca Juniors: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estudiantes scores 1.12 and concedes 0.47 goals per match. Boca Juniors scores 1.41 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estudiantes 24%, Boca Juniors 47%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes 24%, Boca Juniors 35%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.55. Estudiantes: 13.3 shots per match, Boca Juniors: 13.1.
Match halves
Estudiantes: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00. Boca Juniors: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Estudiantes: 46-60 (7 goals). Boca Juniors: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced contest between Estudiantes and Boca Juniors. Both teams started the season solidly – Estudiantes with a 1:1 draw and Boca Juniors with a 1:0 victory, highlighting their defensive stability. Form over the last five matches slightly favors the visitors (2.4 PPG vs 2.2 PPG for the hosts), but Boca Juniors suffered a defeat in their last outing, which could impact confidence. Estudiantes boasts a solid unbeaten run in their last five matches (3W-2D), giving them a psychological edge before their home crowd. Considering the quality of both teams, their defensive approach early in the season, and their historical rivalry, the most probable scenario is a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boca Juniors is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Estudiantes · 1.41 goals / match - Boca Juniors
Estudiantes is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.47 goals / match - Estudiantes · 0.71 goals / match - Boca Juniors
Estudiantes scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Boca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
Boca Juniors scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Estudiantes
Over / Under — Boca Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Boca Juniors is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Estudiantes · 1.41 pts / match - Boca Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Boca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estudiantes
Boca Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes | Liga | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 2.08 | • 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | • 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Estudiantes 0 - 1 - 2 Boca Juniors. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes 2:1 Boca Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes and Boca Juniors?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 0, Boca Juniors won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?
Estudiantes score 1.12 goals per game on average and Boca Juniors 1.41. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Estudiantes's matches and 47% of Boca Juniors's.
What form are Estudiantes and Boca Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Boca Juniors 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.