Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics
Estudiantes presents impressive home form with three consecutive victories and a perfect record at their own stadium (100% wins in home matches). The hosts have not lost a match this season and kept a clean sheet in 67% of home games, evidencing a solid defense. Vélez Sarsfield also remains unbeaten, but adopts a more defensive approach away with 67% draws and only 33% wins. xG statistics favor Estudiantes (1.72 xG For vs 1.24 xG Against in home matches), while Vélez has similar values away (1.29 xG For vs 1.26 xG Against). Given the hosts' advantage on their own turf, higher points form (2.2 PPG vs 1.8 PPG), and better scoring efficiency in home matches, an Estudiantes victory is predicted, although Vélez's solid defensive stance may make this a closely contested encounter.
Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Estudiantes played against Vélez Sarsfield in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on March 2, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Estudiantes has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Vélez Sarsfield has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Estudiantes scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.29. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.14 and allows 0.57. Games in this league average 1.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Estudiantes's games and 57% of Vélez Sarsfield's. The Over 2.5 rates are 14% and 29%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Estudiantes has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.32 per game. Estudiantes takes 13.0 shots per game, while Vélez Sarsfield takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Estudiantes leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Vélez Sarsfield leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Estudiantes's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Vélez Sarsfield, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 1.93 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estudiantes presents impressive home form with three consecutive victories and a perfect record at their own stadium (100% wins in home matches). The hosts have not lost a match this season and kept a clean sheet in 67% of home games, evidencing a solid defense. Vélez Sarsfield also remains unbeaten, but adopts a more defensive approach away with 67% draws and only 33% wins. xG statistics favor Estudiantes (1.72 xG For vs 1.24 xG Against in home matches), while Vélez has similar values away (1.29 xG For vs 1.26 xG Against). Given the hosts' advantage on their own turf, higher points form (2.2 PPG vs 1.8 PPG), and better scoring efficiency in home matches, an Estudiantes victory is predicted, although Vélez's solid defensive stance may make this a closely contested encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Estudiantes | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Estudiantes is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Estudiantes · 1.8 pts / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vélez Sarsfield is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Estudiantes · 1.14 goals / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Estudiantes is 97% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.29 goals / game - Estudiantes · 0.57 goals / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Estudiantes scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estudiantes
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Estudiantes · 1 pts / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Estudiantes
Vélez Sarsfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Estudiantes | Liga | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.29 | 1.93 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 45% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 35% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Estudiantes's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vélez Sarsfield. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The Primera División match finished Estudiantes 0:1 Vélez Sarsfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Estudiantes score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vélez Sarsfield 1.14. The Primera División average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Estudiantes's matches and 57% of Vélez Sarsfield's.
What form are Estudiantes and Vélez Sarsfield in?
Over the last 5 games Estudiantes have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Vélez Sarsfield 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The statistical background for Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.