Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a lean towards a draw. Ethiopia Bunna has shown solid form over their last 5 matches (2 PPG); however, their home record is poor - only a 36% win rate and a massive 55% loss rate at home. Adama Kenema is characterized by a very defensive playing style on the road, with 45% clean sheets and only 0.73 goals conceded per game, but they also have a tendency to draw (55% away draw rate). Both teams score an average of 1 goal per game in their respective matches, and the visitors' high possession (62%) could result in a controlled but relatively ineffective match. Considering the hosts' poor efficiency at home and Adama Kenema's draw-prone nature on the road, sharing the points is the most likely outcome.
Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Bunna play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Bunna 47%, Adama Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Bunna 37%, Adama Kenema 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Bunna has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.12. Ethiopia Bunna: 7.5 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (9 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a lean towards a draw. Ethiopia Bunna has shown solid form over their last 5 matches (2 PPG); however, their home record is poor - only a 36% win rate and a massive 55% loss rate at home. Adama Kenema is characterized by a very defensive playing style on the road, with 45% clean sheets and only 0.73 goals conceded per game, but they also have a tendency to draw (55% away draw rate). Both teams score an average of 1 goal per game in their respective matches, and the visitors' high possession (62%) could result in a controlled but relatively ineffective match. Considering the hosts' poor efficiency at home and Adama Kenema's draw-prone nature on the road, sharing the points is the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adama Kenema is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under — Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Bunna is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.08 | 1.78 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 37% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopia Bunna 0 - 0 - 1 Adama Kenema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Bunna 3:2 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema?
Ethiopia Bunna score 1.05 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 42% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema?
The statistical background for Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.