Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie: match statistics
Ethiopia Bunna, despite weaker home form (33% win rate), demonstrates better offensive statistics in home matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per game with an xG of 1.41. Shire Endaselassie presents very poor efficiency on the road, scoring just 0.6 goals on average per match and failing to score in 60% of away fixtures. The visitors have a neutral goal difference away (0), but their xG (1.07) is lower than the hosts', suggesting less chance creation. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.0 PPG); however, home advantage and Ethiopia Bunna's superior offense tip the scales in their favor. I expect a tight match with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a high probability of a draw due to the defensive nature of both teams.
Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopia Bunna played against Shire Endaselassie in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Ethiopia Bunna has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Shire Endaselassie has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 0.92. Shire Endaselassie scores 0.67 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Ethiopia Bunna's games and 25% of Shire Endaselassie's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 17%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopia Bunna has the higher season xG average, 1.20 to 0.98 per game. Ethiopia Bunna takes 7.7 shots per game, while Shire Endaselassie takes 5.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopia Bunna leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Shire Endaselassie leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopia Bunna's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Shire Endaselassie, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ethiopia Bunna, despite weaker home form (33% win rate), demonstrates better offensive statistics in home matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per game with an xG of 1.41. Shire Endaselassie presents very poor efficiency on the road, scoring just 0.6 goals on average per match and failing to score in 60% of away fixtures. The visitors have a neutral goal difference away (0), but their xG (1.07) is lower than the hosts', suggesting less chance creation. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.0 PPG); however, home advantage and Ethiopia Bunna's superior offense tip the scales in their favor. I expect a tight match with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a high probability of a draw due to the defensive nature of both teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Shire Endaselassie | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ethiopia Bunna is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna · 1 pts / game - Shire Endaselassie
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.67 goals / game - Shire Endaselassie
Shire Endaselassie is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.92 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.67 goals / game - Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 58% of games (7 of 12 meczów), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 meczów).
Shire Endaselassie scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 meczów), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under - Shire Endaselassie
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shire Endaselassie is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.5 pts / game - Shire Endaselassie
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Shire Endaselassie
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Shire Endaselassie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.75 | 1.76 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopia BunnaGoalAbubakar Adamu
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Bunna 1:3 Shire Endaselassie. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie?
Ethiopia Bunna score 0.83 goals per game on average and Shire Endaselassie 0.67. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 25% of Shire Endaselassie's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Shire Endaselassie in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Shire Endaselassie 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.