Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close contest with a slight leaning towards a draw scenario. Ethiopia Nigd Bank displays solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 14% losses at their own stadium, averaging 1.29 goals per match. Adama Kenema is characterized by defensive stability in away matches (57% clean sheets, 0.57 average conceded goals), but poor offensive efficiency (0.71 goals/match away). Both teams hold an identical points record in their last 5 matches (1.2 PPG) and high draw rates—the hosts 43% in home matches, and the visitors a significant 57% away. The low average xG for both teams (1.25 vs 1.04) and similar form suggest difficulties in breaking down the opponent's defense. Considering all factors, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this meeting.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopia Nigd Bank played against Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 21, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Adama Kenema has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.13. Adama Kenema scores 0.73 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 73% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's games and 33% of Adama Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 20%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has the higher season xG average, 1.17 to 1.09 per game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank takes 6.8 shots per game, while Adama Kenema takes 6.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopia Nigd Bank leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Adama Kenema leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Adama Kenema, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close contest with a slight leaning towards a draw scenario. Ethiopia Nigd Bank displays solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 14% losses at their own stadium, averaging 1.29 goals per match. Adama Kenema is characterized by defensive stability in away matches (57% clean sheets, 0.57 average conceded goals), but poor offensive efficiency (0.71 goals/match away). Both teams hold an identical points record in their last 5 matches (1.2 PPG) and high draw rates—the hosts 43% in home matches, and the visitors a significant 57% away. The low average xG for both teams (1.25 vs 1.04) and similar form suggest difficulties in breaking down the opponent's defense. Considering all factors, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this meeting.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 55% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.73 goals / game - Adama Kenema
Adama Kenema is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.6 goals / game - Adama Kenema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 67% (10 of 15 meczów).
Adama Kenema scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under - Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adama Kenema is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.07 pts / game - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.27 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 39% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Adama KenemaGoalBiniam Ayten
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2:3 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.13 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.73. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 33% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Adama Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.