Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar: match statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Nigd Bank play Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 3 July 2026 at 12:00. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 58%, Bahardar 32%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 47%, Bahardar 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.13. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.6 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.3.
Match halves
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (11 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has an offensive edge at home — averaging 1.5 goals per match with 3.06 on-target shots and a 20% conversion rate, while Bahardar scores only 0.72 goals away with 2.33 on-target shots and 9% conversion. However, the visitors’ defense is very solid: Bahardar concedes just 0.56 goals on the road and keeps a clean sheet in 61% of matches, versus 1.0 goals conceded by the hosts at home and 33% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 3 goals (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and earn 1.0 point per game, while the visitors have scored only 1 goal (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and 0.6 points per game, indicating poor form for both sides. xG is essentially even (1.14 xG for the hosts at home vs 1.16 xG for the visitors away), so the hosts’ higher conversion rate and home advantage will be decisive (hosts win 50% of home matches vs 28% away wins for visitors). Therefore I expect a narrow home victory, with a significant probability of a draw due to the visitors’ defensive profile.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.6 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Bahardar is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under — Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.37 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 - 1 - 0 Bahardar. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2:2 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.18 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 32% of Bahardar's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bahardar 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.