Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema demonstrates significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 50% win rate away from home, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank sits in 11th position with just a 38% win rate at home. The form from the last five matches clearly favors the visitors (2 PPG vs 1 PPG for the hosts), who have scored 5 goals while conceding only 3. Negele Arsi Ketema has a better goal difference (+2 away), higher ball possession (49% vs 45%), and an impressive 50% clean sheets in away matches. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has recorded a poor streak in their last five home matches (DWDLWWDL), confirming their instability. The visitors' higher average xG (1.26 vs 1.24) and better defense (0.75 goals conceded per away match on average) suggest Negele Arsi Ketema's advantage in this encounter.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopia Nigd Bank played against Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Negele Arsi Ketema has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.18. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.06 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's games and 35% of Negele Arsi Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 29%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has the higher season xG average, 1.17 to 1.16 per game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank takes 6.8 shots per game, while Negele Arsi Ketema takes 7.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopia Nigd Bank leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Negele Arsi Ketema, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema demonstrates significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 50% win rate away from home, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank sits in 11th position with just a 38% win rate at home. The form from the last five matches clearly favors the visitors (2 PPG vs 1 PPG for the hosts), who have scored 5 goals while conceding only 3. Negele Arsi Ketema has a better goal difference (+2 away), higher ball possession (49% vs 45%), and an impressive 50% clean sheets in away matches. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has recorded a poor streak in their last five home matches (DWDLWWDL), confirming their instability. The visitors' higher average xG (1.26 vs 1.24) and better defense (0.75 goals conceded per away match on average) suggest Negele Arsi Ketema's advantage in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 2 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.06 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Negele Arsi Ketema is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.71 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 meczów).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.41 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.35 | 1.72 | • 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 41% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0:2 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.18 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 1.06. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 35% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.