Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopian Medhin played against Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on May 11, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Ethiopian Medhin has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 0.79. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.23 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 1.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Ethiopian Medhin's games and 57% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 43%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopian Medhin has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.15 per game. Ethiopian Medhin takes 7.9 shots per game, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank takes 6.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.31 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopia Nigd Bank leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopian Medhin's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Ethiopia Nigd Bank, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.79 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw (X): the home side draw 50% of matches at home, while the away side draw 53% on the road, with low win rates of 14% for homes at home and 13% for guests away. The hosts have a defensive edge — they concede only 0.71 goals per game at home and record 29% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 1.27 goals away and have 20% clean sheets. Offensively both teams are limited: the hosts score 0.64 goals at home with an xG of 1.28 (indicating poor chance conversion), while the visitors score 0.93 goals away with an xG of 1.08 but are more efficient (shot conversion 16% vs 8% for the hosts) and are less likely to be shut out — share of matches without a goal is 27% for visitors vs 57% for hosts. In the last 5 matches the hosts average 1.8 points per game with a goal difference of 6:4, and the visitors average 1.4 points per game with a goal difference of 5:3, giving a slight form advantage to the hosts. Considering the hosts' lower average goals conceded and the very frequent draws on both sides, I assess probabilities as: Draw 48%, Home win 30%, Away win 22%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Looking at season-long metrics, the stronger signal for BTTS is that the away team has a season percentage of matches with both teams scoring at 67%, while the home team sits at 47%; the average of these values is 57%, which fundamentally favors the 'BTTS - Yes' option. This is supported by xG figures: the home side has an attacking xG of 1.22 versus the away xG conceded of 1.29 (home should therefore create ~1.2 opportunities against the visitors' defense), while the away team has attacking xG 1.08 versus xG conceded to the home side 1.11 — both sides therefore have expected goal output close to 1. The counterargument is the away form over the last 5 matches — BTTS 0% with averages of 1.0 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, which suggests the visitors have recently tended to prevent both teams from scoring and this lowers BTTS probability. The home team in their last 5 have BTTS 80% with averages of 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded, additionally registering more shots on target (3.14 vs 2.4) and higher conversion rate (19% vs 16%), which increases the chance that at least they will score. In summary, weighing a season average BTTS around 57%, xG close to 1 for both sides, and the conflicting last-5 signals (80% vs 0%), I assign higher probability to 'Yes' — 60% vs 40% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 2.30 (1.22 for Ethiopian Medhin and 1.08 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank), while season goals-per-game averages are 1.53 vs 0.93 (total 2.46), indicating a realistic potential for at least two goals. The percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 80% for the home side and 73% for the away side (average ~76%), therefore OVER 1.5 stands out as the strongest signal (I rate it 77%). The chance of OVER 2.5 is moderate: season rates are 47% for hosts and 40% for visitors (average ~44%), and the combined xG of 2.30 is slightly below the 2.5 threshold, so UNDER 2.5 has the edge. For the 3.5 line, OVER shares are low (27% hosts, 20% guests, average ~24%), and shots on target of 3.14 vs 2.40 with conversion rates of 19%/16% do not suggest heavy goal pressure, so UNDER 3.5 is the dominant option. Consequently, I recommend backing OVER 1.5 with expected goals 1.22 for the home team and 1.08 for the away team (total 2.30), because the combination of xG and seasonal >1.5 shares provides the strongest statistical argument.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ethiopian Medhin has a clear offensive and home advantage: they average 1.53 goals per match compared to 0.93 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank, with xG 1.22 vs 1.08 and 3.14 shots on target vs 2.4. The hosts led at the break in 6 matches (40%) while the visitors did so in only 1 (7%), and halftime goals average 0.6 for Medhin vs 0.33 for Nigd Bank, which favors a lead at the break for the home side. Over the full match this superiority is confirmed by a home win rate of 47% versus 13% away wins for the visitors, and the hosts scored 6 goals in minutes 46–60 compared to 1 for the visitors, so they are dangerous immediately after the break. Although the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 47% for the hosts and 67% for the visitors, the hosts’ higher efficiency (conversion 19% vs 16%) and advantage in shots on target argue for maintaining the lead and winning, hence the selection of 1/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ethiopian Medhin is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.4 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 48% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.23 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Medhin is 48% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.79 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.17 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 55% of games (16 of 29 meczów), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 meczów).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 70% of games (21 of 30 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.1 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.62 | 1.79 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 41% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 40% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | • 55% | 54% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopian MedhinGoalRemedan Yesuf
Head-to-head
Record from Ethiopian Medhin's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 2:1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.83 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.23. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 57% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.