Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Fasil Ketema presents decidedly better form and statistics than Ethiopian Medhin. The guests occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and only 1 loss, while the hosts are placed in 17th position with just 3 wins this season. Ethiopian Medhin has not won any match at home this season (0% efficiency), and finished as many as 71% of home matches without scoring a goal. Fasil Ketema boasts an impressive defense away – 75% clean sheets and just 0.38 average goals conceded per match. The guests also have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.28 vs 1.18) and better shooting efficiency (9% vs 4%). Given the hosts' poor form in home matches and Fasil Ketema's solid stance away, a result favoring the guests is most probable, although their tendency to draw (63% away) must also be included.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopian Medhin play Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 5 February 2026 at 11:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 43%, Fasil Ketema 26%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 24%, Fasil Ketema 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.14. Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 7.2.
Match halves
Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Fasil Ketema presents decidedly better form and statistics than Ethiopian Medhin. The guests occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and only 1 loss, while the hosts are placed in 17th position with just 3 wins this season. Ethiopian Medhin has not won any match at home this season (0% efficiency), and finished as many as 71% of home matches without scoring a goal. Fasil Ketema boasts an impressive defense away – 75% clean sheets and just 0.38 average goals conceded per match. The guests also have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.28 vs 1.18) and better shooting efficiency (9% vs 4%). Given the hosts' poor form in home matches and Fasil Ketema's solid stance away, a result favoring the guests is most probable, although their tendency to draw (63% away) must also be included.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopian Medhin is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopian Medhin 0 - 0 - 1 Fasil Ketema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:0 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.78 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 26% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.