Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Fasil Ketema presents decidedly better form and statistics than Ethiopian Medhin. The guests occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and only 1 loss, while the hosts are placed in 17th position with just 3 wins this season. Ethiopian Medhin has not won any match at home this season (0% efficiency), and finished as many as 71% of home matches without scoring a goal. Fasil Ketema boasts an impressive defense away – 75% clean sheets and just 0.38 average goals conceded per match. The guests also have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.28 vs 1.18) and better shooting efficiency (9% vs 4%). Given the hosts' poor form in home matches and Fasil Ketema's solid stance away, a result favoring the guests is most probable, although their tendency to draw (63% away) must also be included.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopian Medhin played against Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 5, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Ethiopian Medhin has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Fasil Ketema has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.65 goals per game and allows 0.88. Fasil Ketema scores 0.82 and allows 0.41. Games in this league average 1.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Ethiopian Medhin's games and 24% of Fasil Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 6%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopian Medhin has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.18 per game. Ethiopian Medhin takes 7.4 shots per game, while Fasil Ketema takes 8.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.12 goals per game after halftime. Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopian Medhin's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Fasil Ketema, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.70 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fasil Ketema presents decidedly better form and statistics than Ethiopian Medhin. The guests occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and only 1 loss, while the hosts are placed in 17th position with just 3 wins this season. Ethiopian Medhin has not won any match at home this season (0% efficiency), and finished as many as 71% of home matches without scoring a goal. Fasil Ketema boasts an impressive defense away – 75% clean sheets and just 0.38 average goals conceded per match. The guests also have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.28 vs 1.18) and better shooting efficiency (9% vs 4%). Given the hosts' poor form in home matches and Fasil Ketema's solid stance away, a result favoring the guests is most probable, although their tendency to draw (63% away) must also be included.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fasil Ketema is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.6 pts / game - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fasil Ketema is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
0.65 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.82 goals / game - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 115% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.41 goals / game - Fasil Ketema
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 41% of games (7 of 17 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 71% (12 of 17 meczów).
Fasil Ketema scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.47 pts / game - Fasil Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.53 | 1.70 | ▼ 1.24 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 41% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:0 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.65 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 24% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Fasil Ketema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.