Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Mekelakeya presents significantly better form and statistics than Ethiopian Medhin. The visitors occupy 3rd place in the table with a 50% win rate on the road, while the hosts are in 17th position without a single victory at home this season. Ethiopian Medhin has an alarming rate of 67% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium and averages only 0.33 goals per match. Mekelakeya, on the other hand, scores an average of 1.75 goals away with merely 13% of matches without scored goals. The positive goal difference of the visitors (+6) in away matches contrasts with the negative balance of the hosts (-2) in home matches. Mekelakeya's higher shot efficiency (19% vs 5%) and advantage in ball possession (59% vs 53%) additionally support the prediction of a victory for the visitors.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopian Medhin played against Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 26, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Ethiopian Medhin has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Mekelakeya has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.73 goals per game and allows 0.93. Mekelakeya scores 1.35 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Ethiopian Medhin's games and 47% of Mekelakeya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 35%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.23 per game. Ethiopian Medhin takes 7.0 shots per game, while Mekelakeya takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.13 goals per game after halftime. Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopian Medhin's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Mekelakeya, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya presents significantly better form and statistics than Ethiopian Medhin. The visitors occupy 3rd place in the table with a 50% win rate on the road, while the hosts are in 17th position without a single victory at home this season. Ethiopian Medhin has an alarming rate of 67% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium and averages only 0.33 goals per match. Mekelakeya, on the other hand, scores an average of 1.75 goals away with merely 13% of matches without scored goals. The positive goal difference of the visitors (+6) in away matches contrasts with the negative balance of the hosts (-2) in home matches. Mekelakeya's higher shot efficiency (19% vs 5%) and advantage in ball possession (59% vs 53%) additionally support the prediction of a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelakeya is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.2 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 85% better for: goals scored per game.
0.73 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.35 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Mekelakeya is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.88 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 47% of games (7 of 15 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).
Mekelakeya scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.65 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.67 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 40% | • 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalChernet Gugsa BeshahAssist: Bereket Desta Dana
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:1 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.73 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.35. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 47% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mekelakeya 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?
The statistical background for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.