Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between two sides languishing at the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin, sitting in 17th place, displays poor home form with a 75% draw rate and no victories in their last five outings. Mekelle Kenema (19th place) is also struggling but demonstrates slightly better scoring efficiency (0.83 goals per away game compared to the hosts' 0.5) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 7%). Both teams possess an identical goal difference in their respective environments (-1), and recent form for both is poor (0.4 and 1.0 points per match). Considering the hosts' high tendency to draw at home (75%) and the evenly matched quality of the squads, a sharing of the spoils is the most probable outcome.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopian Medhin played against Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 5, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Ethiopian Medhin has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Mekelle Kenema has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.09. Mekelle Kenema scores 1.08 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 1.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Ethiopian Medhin's games and 67% of Mekelle Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 50%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelle Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.22 per game. Ethiopian Medhin takes 6.9 shots per game, while Mekelle Kenema takes 7.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.09 goals per game after halftime. Mekelle Kenema leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopian Medhin's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Mekelle Kenema, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.77 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between two sides languishing at the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin, sitting in 17th place, displays poor home form with a 75% draw rate and no victories in their last five outings. Mekelle Kenema (19th place) is also struggling but demonstrates slightly better scoring efficiency (0.83 goals per away game compared to the hosts' 0.5) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 7%). Both teams possess an identical goal difference in their respective environments (-1), and recent form for both is poor (0.4 and 1.0 points per match). Considering the hosts' high tendency to draw at home (75%) and the evenly matched quality of the squads, a sharing of the spoils is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelle Kenema is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
0.82 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.08 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopian Medhin is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.09 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.42 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 meczów), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.33 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 8%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.91 | 1.77 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 43% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 28% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 38% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Mekelle KenemaGoalFitsum Alemu Fekir
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:1 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.82 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 1.08. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 67% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema?
The statistical background for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.