Ethiopian Medhin vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ethiopian Medhin played against Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on November 25, 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Ethiopian Medhin has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Negele Arsi Ketema has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Ethiopian Medhin scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.80. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.67 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 1.77 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Ethiopian Medhin's games and 50% of Negele Arsi Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 33%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ethiopian Medhin has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 1.05 per game. Ethiopian Medhin takes 6.6 shots per game, while Negele Arsi Ketema takes 6.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.20 goals per game after halftime. Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ethiopian Medhin's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Negele Arsi Ketema, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.77 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
6Shots13
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
2Shots on target2
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
1.29xG1.57
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
3Corners1
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
104Dangerous attacks84
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
8Fouls12
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0Cards0
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals scored / game0.67
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0.8Goals allowed / game0.83
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
54%Average possession46%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
3.2Shots on target / game2.17
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.6Shots per game6.5
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
3.2Shots on target2.17
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
15.2%Shot conversion10.3%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
54%Possession46%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
1.15xG for1.05
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
1.34xG against1.2
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

Shooting quality

Ethiopian Medhin: Efficient finishingNegele Arsi Ketema: Balanced
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)48%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ethiopian Medhin is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Ethiopian Medhin
DWDLW
Season result split
40% W40% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Negele Arsi Ketema
LLDDW
Season result split
17% W50% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ethiopian Medhin is 49% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.67 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Ethiopian Medhin scoring profile: mixed

Ethiopian Medhin scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).

5Goals scored (season)4
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
4Goals conceded (season)5
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
1.8Average goals per game1.5
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal50%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
40%2 goals17%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
20%3 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal67%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
20%2 goals17%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 6 meczów
39%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time33%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
20%Scored in both halves0%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
40%BTTS - last 540%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ethiopian Medhin is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Ethiopian Medhin - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing
Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.67
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
60%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
60%No goal before half-time67%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)1
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
0.6Average goals (2nd half)0.83
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
80%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema
80%No goal after half-time83%
Ethiopian MedhinNegele Arsi Ketema

Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

17% W50% R33% P
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ethiopian Medhin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.41.0
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ethiopian Medhin
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
20%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
30%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ethiopian Medhin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Ethiopian MedhinLigaNegele Arsi Ketema
Average goals per game 1.801.77 1.50
Both teams scored 40%39% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%29% 33%
Clean sheets 40%41% 33%
Goal before half-time 60%52% 33%
Goal after half-time 40%56% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.77
Average goals per game
39%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
41%
Clean sheets
0.89
Home goals / game
0.89
Away goals / game
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:1 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Ethiopian Medhin score 1.00 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 0.67. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 50% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.

What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopian Medhin vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.