Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics

135%(1.92)
X40%(3.00)
225%(3.85)

The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin sits in 16th place, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni is in 19th position, indicating a similar sporting level. The hosts have a dismal home form with 0% wins and a massive 60% of matches ending in a draw, making this the most probable outcome. The visitors have recorded three draws in their last five away matches, confirming their difficulties in securing wins on the road. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective contexts (-2), similar xG values (1.25 vs 1.08), and low offensive efficiency. Statistics point towards a defensive encounter favoring a draw, although the hosts might leverage home advantage to take all three points, while the visitors would likely be satisfied with sharing the spoils.

Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ethiopian Medhin played against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 15, 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

Ethiopian Medhin has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 1.08. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.53 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Ethiopian Medhin's games and 40% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 27%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ethiopian Medhin has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.02 per game. Ethiopian Medhin takes 6.8 shots per game, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.15 goals per game after halftime. Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ethiopian Medhin's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Welwalo Adigrat Uni, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin sits in 16th place, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni is in 19th position, indicating a similar sporting level. The hosts have a dismal home form with 0% wins and a massive 60% of matches ending in a draw, making this the most probable outcome. The visitors have recorded three draws in their last five away matches, confirming their difficulties in securing wins on the road. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective contexts (-2), similar xG values (1.25 vs 1.08), and low offensive efficiency. Statistics point towards a defensive encounter favoring a draw, although the hosts might leverage home advantage to take all three points, while the visitors would likely be satisfied with sharing the spoils.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
6Shots7
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3Shots on target3
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.8xG0.81
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
7Corners4
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
28Dangerous attacks21
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
20Fouls16
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0Cards0
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.85Goals scored / game0.53
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.08Goals allowed / game1.27
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
53%Average possession45%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2.69Shots on target / game2.07
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.77Shots per game5.27
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2.69Shots on target2.07
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
12.5%Shot conversion10.1%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
53%Possession45%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.24xG for1.02
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.38xG against1.08
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Shooting quality

Ethiopian Medhin: BalancedWelwalo Adigrat Uni: Balanced
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Accuracy (shots on target)40%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ethiopian Medhin
LDLLW
Season result split
23% W31% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
DLDDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
13% W33% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-8
0.73 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 0.75Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ethiopian Medhin is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

0.85 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.53 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Ethiopian Medhin is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.08 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.27 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Ethiopian Medhin scoring profile: strong

Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of games (7 of 13 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: strong

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 47% of games (7 of 15 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).

11Goals scored (season)8
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
14Goals conceded (season)19
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.92Average goals per game1.8
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
5Goals scored (last 5)2
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal47%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
23%2 goals7%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
8%3 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%4 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal73%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
23%2 goals40%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%3 goals7%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%4 goals7%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

40%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 15 meczów
42%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time13%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
15%Scored in both halves0%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
80%BTTS - last 540%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time47%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
15%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ethiopian Medhin is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.13 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Ethiopian Medhin - half-time state
23% leading62% draw15% trailing
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per game (1st half)1.13
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.15Average goals (1st half)0.8
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
54%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
46%No goal before half-time67%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

After half-time (2nd half)

0.85Points per game (2nd half)0.8
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.15Goals scored (2nd half)0.2
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.77Average goals (2nd half)0.87
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
54%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
85%No goal after half-time87%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results

15% W38% R46% P
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

7% W60% R33% P
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding65%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ethiopian Medhin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.60.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.80
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.80.2
1 goal60%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ethiopian Medhin
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
4
5
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
7
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.87
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
24%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ethiopian Medhin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
151%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Ethiopian MedhinLigaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Average goals per game 1.921.72 1.80
Both teams scored 54%42% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%27% 27%
Clean sheets 15%39% 27%
Goal before half-time 69%56% 60%
Goal after half-time 62%57% 47%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.72
Average goals per game
42%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.84
Home goals / game
0.88
Away goals / game
+-5%
Home attack advantage
+-5%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Ethiopian Medhin score 0.85 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.53. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 40% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.

What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?

Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.