Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 24 July 2026

Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics

135%(1.92)
X40%(3.00)
225%(3.85)

The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin sits in 16th place, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni is in 19th position, indicating a similar sporting level. The hosts have a dismal home form with 0% wins and a massive 60% of matches ending in a draw, making this the most probable outcome. The visitors have recorded three draws in their last five away matches, confirming their difficulties in securing wins on the road. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective contexts (-2), similar xG values (1.25 vs 1.08), and low offensive efficiency. Statistics point towards a defensive encounter favoring a draw, although the hosts might leverage home advantage to take all three points, while the visitors would likely be satisfied with sharing the spoils.

Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ethiopian Medhin play Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 15 January 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 43%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 24%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.03. Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7.

Match halves

Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36.

Goals by minute

Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin sits in 16th place, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni is in 19th position, indicating a similar sporting level. The hosts have a dismal home form with 0% wins and a massive 60% of matches ending in a draw, making this the most probable outcome. The visitors have recorded three draws in their last five away matches, confirming their difficulties in securing wins on the road. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective contexts (-2), similar xG values (1.25 vs 1.08), and low offensive efficiency. Statistics point towards a defensive encounter favoring a draw, although the hosts might leverage home advantage to take all three points, while the visitors would likely be satisfied with sharing the spoils.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
6Shots7
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3Shots on target3
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.8xG0.81
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
7Corners4
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
28Dangerous attacks21
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
20Fouls16
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0Cards0
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.78Goals scored / match0.82
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.84Goals conceded / match0.97
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
52%Average possession46%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2.84Shots on target / match2.05
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.35Shots per match5.74
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2.84Shots on target2.05
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
10.7%Shot conversion14.3%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
52%Possession46%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.23xG for1.03
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.23xG against1.1
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Shooting quality

Ethiopian Medhin: BalancedWelwalo Adigrat Uni: Counter-attacking
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.2 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Ethiopian Medhin
DWLLL
Season result split
24% W43% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-16-12
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-8-6
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
DDLWD
Season result split
26% W41% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-16-13
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-10-4
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.82 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Ethiopian Medhin is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.97 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Ethiopian Medhin scoring profile: mixed

Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: strong

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).

29Goals scored (season)32
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
31Goals conceded (season)38
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.62Average goals in match1.79
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2Goals scored (last 5)3
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal59%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
19%2 goals18%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
5%3 goals3%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%4 goals3%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal64%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
11%2 goals28%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3%3 goals3%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%4 goals3%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
Ethiopian Medhin - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 37 matches
46%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 39 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time23%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
11%Scored in both halves10%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

BTTS and goal count

19%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
20%BTTS - last 540%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

51%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

2nd half

59%Min. 1 goal after half-time44%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
19%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ethiopian Medhin - half-time state
19% leading68% draw14% trailing
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
21% leading59% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.21
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.46
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.49
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.81Average goals (1st half)0.95
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
68%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
62%No goal before half-time56%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

After half-time (2nd half)

1.05Points per match (2nd half)1.1
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.32Goals scored (2nd half)0.36
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.49Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.81Average goals (2nd half)0.79
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
57%Clean sheet after half-time69%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni
73%No goal after half-time74%
Ethiopian MedhinWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results

19% W49% R32% P
46
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

15% W64% R21% P
47
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ethiopian Medhin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.20.0
1 goal80%0%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ethiopian Medhin
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
6
7
16-30
4
3
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
8
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
5
12
0-15
6
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
1
4
46-60
6
9
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ethiopian Medhin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Ethiopian MedhinLigaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Average goals in match 1.621.78 1.79
Both teams scored 43%40% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%28% 31%
Clean sheets 30%40% 36%
Goal before half-time 51%56% 64%
Goal after half-time 59%59% 44%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ethiopian Medhin 0 - 1 - 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Ethiopian Medhin score 0.78 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.

What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?

Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.