Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca: match statistics
AEK Larnaca is the undisputed favorite in this match. The visitors hold 4th place in the standings with an impressive 58% away win rate, while Ethnikos Achna sits in 13th position with just a 50% win rate at home. The difference in offensive quality is significant - AEK scores an average of 1.67 goals per away match with a 16% conversion rate, whereas the hosts score only 1.25 goals with a 13% conversion rate. Additionally, the visitors' away goal difference (+10) heavily outweighs the hosts' home record (+3). The recent form of both teams (Ethnikos: 1.2 pts/match, AEK: 1.0 pts/match) is comparable, but AEK Larnaca's class and statistical superiority strongly suggest an away win. The visitors' higher xG values (1.39 vs 1.21) and better ball possession control (53% vs 50%) further back up this prediction.
Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethnikos Achna play AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 16 March 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Ethnikos Achna: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. AEK Larnaca: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethnikos Achna scores 1.03 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. AEK Larnaca scores 1.72 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethnikos Achna 45%, AEK Larnaca 53%. Over 2.5: Ethnikos Achna 55%, AEK Larnaca 42%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.17. Ethnikos Achna: 9.2 shots per match, AEK Larnaca: 11.5.
Match halves
Ethnikos Achna: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.58. AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Ethnikos Achna: 76-90+ (9 goals). AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
AEK Larnaca is the undisputed favorite in this match. The visitors hold 4th place in the standings with an impressive 58% away win rate, while Ethnikos Achna sits in 13th position with just a 50% win rate at home. The difference in offensive quality is significant - AEK scores an average of 1.67 goals per away match with a 16% conversion rate, whereas the hosts score only 1.25 goals with a 13% conversion rate. Additionally, the visitors' away goal difference (+10) heavily outweighs the hosts' home record (+3). The recent form of both teams (Ethnikos: 1.2 pts/match, AEK: 1.0 pts/match) is comparable, but AEK Larnaca's class and statistical superiority strongly suggest an away win. The visitors' higher xG values (1.39 vs 1.21) and better ball possession control (53% vs 50%) further back up this prediction.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethnikos Achna | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Larnaca is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.6 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.72 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna · 0.92 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
AEK Larnaca scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Ethnikos Achna keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethnikos Achna
Over / Under — AEK Larnaca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.86 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethnikos Achna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Ethnikos Achna | Liga | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.64 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethnikos Achna 0 - 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca?
The First Division match finished Ethnikos Achna 0:2 AEK Larnaca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca?
Ethnikos Achna score 1.03 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 1.72. The First Division average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Ethnikos Achna's matches and 53% of AEK Larnaca's.
What form are Ethnikos Achna and AEK Larnaca in?
Over the last 5 games Ethnikos Achna have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.