Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: match statistics
Ethnikos Achna demonstrates significantly better form in home fixtures, boasting a 57% win rate and only 29% losses, laying a solid foundation for a victory. The hosts average 1.43 goals scored against just 0.57 conceded at home, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. Conversely, AEL struggles on the road with a mere 29% win rate and failing to score in 71% of matches, while conceding an average of 2 goals per away game. The disparity in xG values (1.29 for the hosts vs 0.82 for the visitors away) further validates Ethnikos Achna's advantage. Despite the hosts' weaker recent overall form, their dominance on home soil combined with AEL's evident away struggles favor a win for Ethnikos Achna. However, it is worth noting that AEL has shown better overall form in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 points per match, suggesting a potentially tight contest with draw possibilities.
Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethnikos Achna play AEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 3 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ethnikos Achna: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. AEL: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethnikos Achna scores 1.03 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. AEL scores 1.24 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethnikos Achna 45%, AEL 45%. Over 2.5: Ethnikos Achna 55%, AEL 55%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
AEL has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.17. Ethnikos Achna: 9.2 shots per match, AEL: 8.9.
Match halves
Ethnikos Achna: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.58. AEL: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Ethnikos Achna: 76-90+ (9 goals). AEL: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ethnikos Achna demonstrates significantly better form in home fixtures, boasting a 57% win rate and only 29% losses, laying a solid foundation for a victory. The hosts average 1.43 goals scored against just 0.57 conceded at home, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. Conversely, AEL struggles on the road with a mere 29% win rate and failing to score in 71% of matches, while conceding an average of 2 goals per away game. The disparity in xG values (1.29 for the hosts vs 0.82 for the visitors away) further validates Ethnikos Achna's advantage. Despite the hosts' weaker recent overall form, their dominance on home soil combined with AEL's evident away struggles favor a win for Ethnikos Achna. However, it is worth noting that AEL has shown better overall form in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 points per match, suggesting a potentially tight contest with draw possibilities.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethnikos Achna | AEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEL is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.4 pts / match - AEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.24 goals / match - AEL
AEL is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.39 goals / match - AEL
Ethnikos Achna scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
AEL scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Ethnikos Achna keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethnikos Achna
Over / Under — AEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethnikos Achna is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.09 pts / match - AEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethnikos Achna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethnikos Achna
AEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Ethnikos Achna | Liga | AEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.64 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 31% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ethnikos Achna 0 - 2 - 0 AEL. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
The First Division match finished Ethnikos Achna 0:1 AEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ethnikos Achna and AEL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ethnikos Achna won 0, AEL won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
Ethnikos Achna score 1.03 goals per game on average and AEL 1.24. The First Division average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Ethnikos Achna's matches and 45% of AEL's.
What form are Ethnikos Achna and AEL in?
Over the last 5 games Ethnikos Achna have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and AEL 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.