Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: match statistics
Ethnikos Achna demonstrates significantly better form in home fixtures, boasting a 57% win rate and only 29% losses, laying a solid foundation for a victory. The hosts average 1.43 goals scored against just 0.57 conceded at home, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. Conversely, AEL struggles on the road with a mere 29% win rate and failing to score in 71% of matches, while conceding an average of 2 goals per away game. The disparity in xG values (1.29 for the hosts vs 0.82 for the visitors away) further validates Ethnikos Achna's advantage. Despite the hosts' weaker recent overall form, their dominance on home soil combined with AEL's evident away struggles favor a win for Ethnikos Achna. However, it is worth noting that AEL has shown better overall form in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 points per match, suggesting a potentially tight contest with draw possibilities.
Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethnikos Achna played against AEL in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Ethnikos Achna has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. AEL has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethnikos Achna scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.93. AEL scores 1.27 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Ethnikos Achna's games and 33% of AEL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 53%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethnikos Achna has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.01 per game. Ethnikos Achna takes 10.3 shots per game, while AEL takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethnikos Achna leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. AEL leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethnikos Achna's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For AEL, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ethnikos Achna demonstrates significantly better form in home fixtures, boasting a 57% win rate and only 29% losses, laying a solid foundation for a victory. The hosts average 1.43 goals scored against just 0.57 conceded at home, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. Conversely, AEL struggles on the road with a mere 29% win rate and failing to score in 71% of matches, while conceding an average of 2 goals per away game. The disparity in xG values (1.29 for the hosts vs 0.82 for the visitors away) further validates Ethnikos Achna's advantage. Despite the hosts' weaker recent overall form, their dominance on home soil combined with AEL's evident away struggles favor a win for Ethnikos Achna. However, it is worth noting that AEL has shown better overall form in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 points per match, suggesting a potentially tight contest with draw possibilities.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethnikos Achna | AEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Ethnikos Achna · 1.27 goals / game - AEL
AEL is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.93 goals / game - Ethnikos Achna · 1.47 goals / game - AEL
Ethnikos Achna scores in 60% of games (9 of 15 meczów), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).
AEL scores in 53% of games (8 of 15 meczów), while Ethnikos Achna keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethnikos Achna
Over / Under - AEL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethnikos Achna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AEL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethnikos Achna
AEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Ethnikos Achna | Liga | AEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.07 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ethnikos Achna's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against AEL. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
The First Division match finished Ethnikos Achna 0:1 AEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
Ethnikos Achna score 1.13 goals per game on average and AEL 1.27. The First Division average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ethnikos Achna's matches and 33% of AEL's.
What form are Ethnikos Achna and AEL in?
Over the last 5 games Ethnikos Achna have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and AEL 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.