Etincelles vs AS Kigali: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between two bottom-table sides. As hosts, Etincelles have yet to win a home match this season (0% Win%), yet a significant 57% of their games have ended in draws, highlighting their struggle to find the net (71% FTS%). AS Kigali also display poor form on the road, suffering 63% losses with only 13% wins. Both teams possess a negative goal difference (Etincelles -4, AS Kigali -5) alongside low offensive output. Recent form over the last five matches remains weak (0.8 PPG for the hosts, 0.6 PPG for the visitors), further suggesting a gritty, balanced encounter. Considering Etincelles' high tendency to draw at home and the overall lack of quality from both sides, sharing the points appears the most likely outcome.
Etincelles vs AS Kigali: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Etincelles played against AS Kigali in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Etincelles has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. AS Kigali has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Etincelles scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 1.21. AS Kigali scores 0.69 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 1.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Etincelles's games and 44% of AS Kigali's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 31%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AS Kigali has the higher season xG average, 1.20 to 1.16 per game. Etincelles takes 6.1 shots per game, while AS Kigali takes 6.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Etincelles leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. AS Kigali leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Etincelles's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For AS Kigali, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 1.94 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between two bottom-table sides. As hosts, Etincelles have yet to win a home match this season (0% Win%), yet a significant 57% of their games have ended in draws, highlighting their struggle to find the net (71% FTS%). AS Kigali also display poor form on the road, suffering 63% losses with only 13% wins. Both teams possess a negative goal difference (Etincelles -4, AS Kigali -5) alongside low offensive output. Recent form over the last five matches remains weak (0.8 PPG for the hosts, 0.6 PPG for the visitors), further suggesting a gritty, balanced encounter. Considering Etincelles' high tendency to draw at home and the overall lack of quality from both sides, sharing the points appears the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Etincelles | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Etincelles is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Etincelles · 0.6 pts / game - AS Kigali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Etincelles is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
0.79 goals / game - Etincelles · 0.69 goals / game - AS Kigali
Etincelles is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.21 goals / game - Etincelles · 1.31 goals / game - AS Kigali
Etincelles scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
AS Kigali scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Etincelles
Over / Under - AS Kigali
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Etincelles is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Etincelles · 0.63 pts / game - AS Kigali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 7%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AS Kigali - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Etincelles
AS Kigali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Etincelles | Liga | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.00 | 1.94 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 40% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 31% | • 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 37% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Etincelles vs AS Kigali?
The National Soccer League match finished Etincelles 0:1 AS Kigali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs AS Kigali?
Etincelles score 0.79 goals per game on average and AS Kigali 0.69. The National Soccer League average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Etincelles's matches and 44% of AS Kigali's.
What form are Etincelles and AS Kigali in?
Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and AS Kigali 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs AS Kigali?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.