Etincelles vs Gicumbi: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close match between two teams from the bottom of the table. Etincelles occupy 15th place and show poor home form with just 18% wins at home, although they have won their last two matches. Gicumbi in 12th place have a slightly better away record (30% wins), but in their last five matches, they are averaging only 1 point per game. A key factor is Etincelles' high percentage of draws in home matches (36%) and the poor attacking efficiency of both teams - the hosts fail to score in 55% of their home games, and the visitors have similar offensive problems. Considering the poor form of both sides, the minor difference in xG, and the hosts' history of draws, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
Etincelles vs Gicumbi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Etincelles played against Gicumbi in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Etincelles has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Gicumbi has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Etincelles scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 1.20. Gicumbi scores 1.20 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 2.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Etincelles's games and 65% of Gicumbi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 50%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Etincelles has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.05 per game. Etincelles takes 7.3 shots per game, while Gicumbi takes 6.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Etincelles leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.30 goals per game after halftime. Gicumbi leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Etincelles's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Gicumbi, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.06 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close match between two teams from the bottom of the table. Etincelles occupy 15th place and show poor home form with just 18% wins at home, although they have won their last two matches. Gicumbi in 12th place have a slightly better away record (30% wins), but in their last five matches, they are averaging only 1 point per game. A key factor is Etincelles' high percentage of draws in home matches (36%) and the poor attacking efficiency of both teams - the hosts fail to score in 55% of their home games, and the visitors have similar offensive problems. Considering the poor form of both sides, the minor difference in xG, and the hosts' history of draws, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Etincelles | Gicumbi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.55 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Etincelles is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Etincelles · 1 pts / game - Gicumbi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gicumbi is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Etincelles · 1.2 goals / game - Gicumbi
Etincelles is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Etincelles · 1.55 goals / game - Gicumbi
Etincelles scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
Gicumbi scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Etincelles
Over / Under - Gicumbi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gicumbi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Etincelles
Gicumbi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Etincelles | Liga | Gicumbi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.95 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 44% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Etincelles's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Gicumbi. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Etincelles vs Gicumbi?
The National Soccer League match finished Etincelles 1:1 Gicumbi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs Gicumbi?
Etincelles score 0.75 goals per game on average and Gicumbi 1.20. The National Soccer League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Etincelles's matches and 65% of Gicumbi's.
What form are Etincelles and Gicumbi in?
Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Gicumbi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs Gicumbi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Etincelles vs Gicumbi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.