Etincelles vs Muhanga: match statistics
This match is shaping up to be a clash between two teams struggling in the league. Etincelles are in 15th place, while Muhanga are bottom in 18th place. The hosts have terrible home form with only 10% of matches won at home and as many as 60% of games without scoring, although their last outing ended in victory. Muhanga perform even worse in away matches, losing 67% of games and conceding an average of 1.44 goals per match, with a goal difference of -9. Both teams have issues with offensive efficiency, suggesting a low-tempo match and the possibility of a draw. Considering both teams' poor form and their goal-scoring problems, the most likely outcome is a draw, although the hosts might leverage home advantage despite their poor home statistics.
Etincelles vs Muhanga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Etincelles play Muhanga in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 15 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Etincelles: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Muhanga: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Etincelles scores 0.94 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Muhanga scores 0.74 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Etincelles 56%, Muhanga 35%. Over 2.5: Etincelles 38%, Muhanga 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Etincelles has higher xG: 1.24 vs 0.99. Etincelles: 7.9 shots per match, Muhanga: 5.6.
Match halves
Etincelles: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.44. Muhanga: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
Etincelles: 16-30 (7 goals). Muhanga: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
This match is shaping up to be a clash between two teams struggling in the league. Etincelles are in 15th place, while Muhanga are bottom in 18th place. The hosts have terrible home form with only 10% of matches won at home and as many as 60% of games without scoring, although their last outing ended in victory. Muhanga perform even worse in away matches, losing 67% of games and conceding an average of 1.44 goals per match, with a goal difference of -9. Both teams have issues with offensive efficiency, suggesting a low-tempo match and the possibility of a draw. Considering both teams' poor form and their goal-scoring problems, the most likely outcome is a draw, although the hosts might leverage home advantage despite their poor home statistics.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Etincelles | Muhanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Etincelles is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.4 pts / match - Muhanga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Etincelles is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Etincelles · 0.74 goals / match - Muhanga
Etincelles is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Etincelles · 1.32 goals / match - Muhanga
Etincelles scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Muhanga keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Muhanga scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Etincelles
Over / Under — Muhanga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Etincelles is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.15 pts / match - Muhanga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Muhanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Etincelles
Muhanga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Etincelles | Liga | Muhanga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.12 | 2.12 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Etincelles 0 - 1 - 0 Muhanga. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Etincelles vs Muhanga?
The National Soccer League match finished Etincelles 2:1 Muhanga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs Muhanga?
Etincelles score 0.94 goals per game on average and Muhanga 0.74. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Etincelles's matches and 35% of Muhanga's.
What form are Etincelles and Muhanga in?
Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Muhanga 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs Muhanga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.