Etincelles vs Police: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Etincelles play Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 20 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Etincelles: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Police: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Etincelles scores 0.94 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Police scores 0.82 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Etincelles 56%, Police 35%. Over 2.5: Etincelles 38%, Police 18%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Etincelles has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.13. Etincelles: 7.9 shots per match, Police: 6.1.

Match halves

Etincelles: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.44. Police: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.47.

Goals by minute

Etincelles: 16-30 (7 goals). Police: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
EtincellesPolice
0Shots1
EtincellesPolice
0Shots on target1
EtincellesPolice
0.31xG0.49
EtincellesPolice
3Corners8
EtincellesPolice
40Dangerous attacks47
EtincellesPolice
10Fouls17
EtincellesPolice
0Cards0
EtincellesPolice

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.94Goals scored / match0.82
EtincellesPolice
1.18Goals conceded / match0.56
EtincellesPolice
44%Average possession49%
EtincellesPolice
2.76Shots on target / match2.24
EtincellesPolice

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.94Shots per match6.06
EtincellesPolice
2.76Shots on target2.24
EtincellesPolice
11.9%Shot conversion13.6%
EtincellesPolice
44%Possession49%
EtincellesPolice
1.24xG for1.13
EtincellesPolice
1.2xG against0.93
EtincellesPolice

Shooting quality

Etincelles: BalancedPolice: Efficient finishing
EtincellesPolice
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Etincelles is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.4 pts / match - Police

Etincelles
LDWWW
Season result split
21% W47% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-16-11
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-8-5
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Police
DDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
35% W44% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-15-7
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-9-3
Last 5 away
1-3-1
LDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Etincelles is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

0.94 goals / match - Etincelles · 0.82 goals / match - Police

Police is 111% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.18 goals / match - Etincelles · 0.56 goals / match - Police

Etincelles scoring profile: mixed

Etincelles scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).

Police scoring profile: strong

Police scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

32Goals scored (season)28
EtincellesPolice
40Goals conceded (season)19
EtincellesPolice
2.12Average goals in match1.38
EtincellesPolice
12Goals scored (last 5)2
EtincellesPolice
9Goals conceded (last 5)1
EtincellesPolice

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal59%
EtincellesPolice
21%2 goals18%
EtincellesPolice
9%3 goals3%
EtincellesPolice
3%4 goals3%
EtincellesPolice

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal53%
EtincellesPolice
29%2 goals3%
EtincellesPolice
9%3 goals0%
EtincellesPolice
6%4 goals0%
EtincellesPolice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time3%
EtincellesPolice
3%BTTS in both halves0%
EtincellesPolice
9%Scored in both halves18%
EtincellesPolice

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS15%
EtincellesPolice
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
EtincellesPolice
80%BTTS - last 520%
EtincellesPolice

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time47%
EtincellesPolice
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time6%
EtincellesPolice
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
EtincellesPolice

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
EtincellesPolice
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time18%
EtincellesPolice
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
EtincellesPolice

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.44 pts / match - Police

Etincelles - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing
Police - half-time state
29% leading56% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.44
EtincellesPolice
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.35
EtincellesPolice
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.18
EtincellesPolice
0.94Average goals (1st half)0.53
EtincellesPolice
65%Clean sheet before half-time82%
EtincellesPolice
65%No goal before half-time68%
EtincellesPolice

After half-time (2nd half)

1.09Points per match (2nd half)1.35
EtincellesPolice
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
EtincellesPolice
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
EtincellesPolice
1.09Average goals (2nd half)0.85
EtincellesPolice
50%Clean sheet after half-time65%
EtincellesPolice
65%No goal after half-time56%
EtincellesPolice

Etincelles - second-half results

21% W47% R32% P
42
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Police - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
49
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Etincelles - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.20.4
1 goal20%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Etincelles
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
7
3
16-30
5
10
31-45
6
3
46-60
4
12
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Police
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Etincelles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

EtincellesLigaPolice
Average goals in match 2.122.12 1.38
Both teams scored 56%46% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%38% 18%
Clean sheets 26%34% 47%
Goal before half-time 56%61% 47%
Goal after half-time 65%70% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Etincelles 0 - 1 - 0 Police. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Etincelles vs Police?

The National Soccer League match finished Etincelles 0:1 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs Police?

Etincelles score 0.94 goals per game on average and Police 0.82. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Etincelles's matches and 35% of Police's.

What form are Etincelles and Police in?

Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Police 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs Police?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Etincelles vs Police: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.