Excelsior vs Heerenveen: match statistics
Heerenveen is showing significantly better form than Excelsior, earning 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, while the hosts are achieving just 0.8 points. Excelsior occupies 15th place in the table with only 31% wins at home and an alarming record of 54% losses at their own stadium. Heerenveen demonstrates higher offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.5 goals away compared to just 1.0 goal for the hosts at home, and also possesses a better shot conversion rate (10% vs 8%). Additionally, xG For Heerenveen on the road (1.64) exceeds xG For Excelsior at home (1.37), confirming the qualitative advantage of the visitors. Heerenveen's recent form (lwwlw) with three victories in the last five matches strongly supports their success in this clash.
Excelsior vs Heerenveen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Excelsior played against Heerenveen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Excelsior has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Heerenveen has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Excelsior scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.68. Heerenveen scores 1.68 and allows 1.72. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Excelsior's games and 72% of Heerenveen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 72%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Heerenveen has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.31 per game. Excelsior takes 11.6 shots per game, while Heerenveen takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Excelsior leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Heerenveen leads at halftime in 32% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Excelsior's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Heerenveen, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heerenveen is showing significantly better form than Excelsior, earning 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, while the hosts are achieving just 0.8 points. Excelsior occupies 15th place in the table with only 31% wins at home and an alarming record of 54% losses at their own stadium. Heerenveen demonstrates higher offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.5 goals away compared to just 1.0 goal for the hosts at home, and also possesses a better shot conversion rate (10% vs 8%). Additionally, xG For Heerenveen on the road (1.64) exceeds xG For Excelsior at home (1.37), confirming the qualitative advantage of the visitors. Heerenveen's recent form (lwwlw) with three victories in the last five matches strongly supports their success in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Heerenveen is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Excelsior · 1.8 pts / game - Heerenveen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 62% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.68 goals / game - Heerenveen
Excelsior scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 meczów).
Heerenveen scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Excelsior
Over / Under - Heerenveen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Excelsior · 1.28 pts / game - Heerenveen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 28%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Excelsior
Heerenveen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.72 | 3.18 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 19% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 81% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Excelsior's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Heerenveen. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs Heerenveen?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 1:2 Heerenveen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs Heerenveen?
Excelsior score 1.04 goals per game on average and Heerenveen 1.68. The Eredivisie average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Excelsior's matches and 72% of Heerenveen's.
What form are Excelsior and Heerenveen in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Heerenveen 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs Heerenveen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Excelsior vs Heerenveen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.