Exeter City vs Lincoln City: match statistics
Lincoln City, as the undisputed league leader (1st place) with an impressive record of 22 wins this season, presents a clear advantage over Exeter City (15th place). The visitors exhibit excellent form, scoring 13 goals in their last 5 matches with only 1 goal conceded, translating to 2.6 points per game. Lincoln boasts a 53% away win rate and 47% clean sheets, a testament to their defensive solidity. Exeter, conversely, is going through a crisis – 0 wins in their last 5 matches and only 0.6 points per game, which even with their home strategy might not be enough against such a determined leader. The difference in goal quality (65:31 for Lincoln vs 40:42 for Exeter) and the advantage in shot conversion (15% vs 11%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all statistical factors into account, a Lincoln City victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
Exeter City vs Lincoln City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Exeter City played against Lincoln City in EFL League One (England). The game was played on March 10, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Exeter City has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Lincoln City has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Exeter City scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.20. Lincoln City scores 1.86 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Exeter City's games and 49% of Lincoln City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 51%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lincoln City has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.23 per game. Exeter City takes 10.7 shots per game, while Lincoln City takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Exeter City leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Lincoln City leads at halftime in 66% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Exeter City's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Lincoln City, it is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lincoln City, as the undisputed league leader (1st place) with an impressive record of 22 wins this season, presents a clear advantage over Exeter City (15th place). The visitors exhibit excellent form, scoring 13 goals in their last 5 matches with only 1 goal conceded, translating to 2.6 points per game. Lincoln boasts a 53% away win rate and 47% clean sheets, a testament to their defensive solidity. Exeter, conversely, is going through a crisis – 0 wins in their last 5 matches and only 0.6 points per game, which even with their home strategy might not be enough against such a determined leader. The difference in goal quality (65:31 for Lincoln vs 40:42 for Exeter) and the advantage in shot conversion (15% vs 11%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all statistical factors into account, a Lincoln City victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lincoln City is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Exeter City · 2.6 pts / game - Lincoln City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lincoln City is 63% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Exeter City · 1.86 goals / game - Lincoln City
Lincoln City is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Exeter City · 0.89 goals / game - Lincoln City
Exeter City scores in 69% of games (24 of 35 meczów), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 meczów).
Lincoln City scores in 86% of games (30 of 35 meczów), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Lincoln City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lincoln City is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Exeter City · 2.23 pts / game - Lincoln City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 66% of games and wins 63%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Exeter City
Lincoln City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.34 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 51% | • 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Exeter City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Lincoln City. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Lincoln City?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 0:1 Lincoln City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Lincoln City?
Exeter City score 1.14 goals per game on average and Lincoln City 1.86. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Exeter City's matches and 49% of Lincoln City's.
What form are Exeter City and Lincoln City in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Lincoln City 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Lincoln City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.