Exeter City vs Rotherham United: match statistics
Exeter City displays significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive +12 goal difference at their home ground. The hosts have won 4 out of their last 5 home matches, confirming their solidity in front of their own crowd. Rotherham United is in 23rd place, second from bottom in the table, and has a disastrous away record - just a 15% win rate and a -12 goal difference. The visitors have lost all of their last 5 away matches, further highlighting their problems playing on the road. Exeter holds the advantage in all key statistics: more shots on target (4.5 vs 2.23), a higher chance conversion rate (14% vs 8%), better ball possession (53% vs 41%), and a significantly higher xG (1.44 vs 1.0). Given such a large disparity in form and quality of play, a home victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
Exeter City vs Rotherham United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Exeter City played against Rotherham United in EFL League One (England). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Recent form
Exeter City has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Rotherham United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Exeter City scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 0.96. Rotherham United scores 1.00 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 37% of Exeter City's games and 52% of Rotherham United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 56%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.20 per game. Exeter City takes 10.1 shots per game, while Rotherham United takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Exeter City leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Rotherham United leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Exeter City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Rotherham United, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Exeter City displays significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive +12 goal difference at their home ground. The hosts have won 4 out of their last 5 home matches, confirming their solidity in front of their own crowd. Rotherham United is in 23rd place, second from bottom in the table, and has a disastrous away record - just a 15% win rate and a -12 goal difference. The visitors have lost all of their last 5 away matches, further highlighting their problems playing on the road. Exeter holds the advantage in all key statistics: more shots on target (4.5 vs 2.23), a higher chance conversion rate (14% vs 8%), better ball possession (53% vs 41%), and a significantly higher xG (1.44 vs 1.0). Given such a large disparity in form and quality of play, a home victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Exeter City is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Exeter City · 0.8 pts / game - Rotherham United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Exeter City is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Exeter City · 1 goals / game - Rotherham United
Exeter City is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.96 goals / game - Exeter City · 1.48 goals / game - Rotherham United
Exeter City scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 meczów), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 meczów).
Rotherham United scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 meczów), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Rotherham United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Exeter City is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / game - Exeter City · 1.07 pts / game - Rotherham United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Exeter City
Rotherham United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.19 | 2.54 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 68% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Exeter City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Rotherham United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Rotherham United?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 0:4 Rotherham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Rotherham United?
Exeter City score 1.22 goals per game on average and Rotherham United 1.00. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Exeter City's matches and 52% of Rotherham United's.
What form are Exeter City and Rotherham United in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Rotherham United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Rotherham United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Exeter City vs Rotherham United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.