Express vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Express play Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 3 December 2025 at 18:00. Final score: 4:0.

Current form

Express: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Express scores 0.93 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Express 30%, Calvary 21%. Over 2.5: Express 37%, Calvary 17%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Express has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.18. Express: 8.7 shots per match, Calvary: 3.6.

Match halves

Express: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21.

Goals by minute

Express: 16-30 (7 goals). Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
ExpressCalvary
-1Shots-1
ExpressCalvary
-1Shots on target-1
ExpressCalvary
0xG0
ExpressCalvary
-1Corners-1
ExpressCalvary
0Dangerous attacks0
ExpressCalvary
-1Fouls-1
ExpressCalvary
-1Cards-1
ExpressCalvary

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.93Goals scored / match0.48
ExpressCalvary
1.03Goals conceded / match1.24
ExpressCalvary
45%Average possession20%
ExpressCalvary
3.5Shots on target / match0.79
ExpressCalvary

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.7Shots per match3.62
ExpressCalvary
3.5Shots on target0.79
ExpressCalvary
10.7%Shot conversion13.3%
ExpressCalvary
45%Possession20%
ExpressCalvary
1.3xG for1.18
ExpressCalvary
1.67xG against1.86
ExpressCalvary

Shooting quality

Express: BalancedCalvary: Counter-attacking
ExpressCalvary
Accuracy (shots on target)40%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.33
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.61

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Calvary is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Express · 1.6 pts / match - Calvary

Express
LWWDL
Season result split
30% W33% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-11
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Calvary
LWDDW
Season result split
14% W31% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-9-16
0.72 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-11
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Express is 94% better for: goals scored per match.

0.93 goals / match - Express · 0.48 goals / match - Calvary

Express is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Express · 1.24 goals / match - Calvary

Express scoring profile: mixed

Express scores in 43% of matches (13 of 30 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).

Calvary scoring profile: more difficult

Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

28Goals scored (season)14
ExpressCalvary
31Goals conceded (season)36
ExpressCalvary
1.97Average goals in match1.72
ExpressCalvary
6Goals scored (last 5)4
ExpressCalvary
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
ExpressCalvary

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal34%
ExpressCalvary
23%2 goals14%
ExpressCalvary
20%3 goals0%
ExpressCalvary
7%4 goals0%
ExpressCalvary

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal62%
ExpressCalvary
30%2 goals28%
ExpressCalvary
10%3 goals17%
ExpressCalvary
3%4 goals14%
ExpressCalvary

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time10%
ExpressCalvary
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ExpressCalvary
17%Scored in both halves3%
ExpressCalvary

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
ExpressCalvary
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
ExpressCalvary
40%BTTS - last 520%
ExpressCalvary

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

47%Min. 1 goal before half-time48%
ExpressCalvary
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
ExpressCalvary
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
ExpressCalvary

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time41%
ExpressCalvary
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
ExpressCalvary
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
ExpressCalvary

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Express is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Express · 0.76 pts / match - Calvary

Express - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
Calvary - half-time state
7% leading55% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)0.76
ExpressCalvary
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.21
ExpressCalvary
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.66
ExpressCalvary
0.9Average goals (1st half)0.86
ExpressCalvary
63%Clean sheet before half-time59%
ExpressCalvary
70%No goal before half-time83%
ExpressCalvary

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.03
ExpressCalvary
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.21
ExpressCalvary
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
ExpressCalvary
1.07Average goals (2nd half)0.66
ExpressCalvary
57%Clean sheet after half-time69%
ExpressCalvary
70%No goal after half-time83%
ExpressCalvary

Express - second-half results

27% W37% R37% P
35
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Calvary - second-half results

14% W62% R24% P
22
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Express - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Calvary - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.00.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Express
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
7
7
16-30
4
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
3
7
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
5
10
0-15
0
8
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
26%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
15%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
38%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.88
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

ExpressLigaCalvary
Average goals in match 1.972.09 1.72
Both teams scored 30%38% 21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 37%35% 17%
Clean sheets 40%39% 38%
Goal before half-time 47%59% 48%
Goal after half-time 67%62% 41%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Express 0 - 1 - 0 Calvary. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Express vs Calvary?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Express 4:0 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Express vs Calvary?

Express score 0.93 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.48. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Express's matches and 21% of Calvary's.

What form are Express and Calvary in?

Over the last 5 games Express have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Calvary 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Express vs Calvary?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.