Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of September 06, 2026

Express vs SC Villa: match statistics

Express crest
Express
0 : 1half-time 0:1
SC Villa crest
SC Villa
130%(0.00)
X25%(0.00)
245%(0.00)

SC Villa displays significantly better form and league standing (4th place) compared to Express (10th place). The visitors hold an impressive record of 7 wins and just 2 losses this season, while the hosts have managed only 3 wins against 5 defeats. In their last 5 matches, SC Villa averaged 2 points per game with a 6:2 goal difference, whereas Express averaged only 0.8 points with a negative 4:9 balance. Although Express wins 60% of their home games, SC Villa maintains a 40% away win rate with superior efficiency (18% shot conversion vs 14%) and better game control (50% possession vs 46%). The higher xG for the hosts (1.28) in home matches does not outweigh the visitors' advantage in quality and form, making SC Villa the favorite for this encounter.

Express vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Express played against SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 8, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Express has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. SC Villa has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Express scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.27. SC Villa scores 1.45 and allows 0.64. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 27% of Express's games and 45% of SC Villa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 45%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

SC Villa has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.24 per game. Express takes 8.1 shots per game, while SC Villa takes 7.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Express leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. SC Villa leads at halftime in 27% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Express's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For SC Villa, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uganda Premier League games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

SC Villa displays significantly better form and league standing (4th place) compared to Express (10th place). The visitors hold an impressive record of 7 wins and just 2 losses this season, while the hosts have managed only 3 wins against 5 defeats. In their last 5 matches, SC Villa averaged 2 points per game with a 6:2 goal difference, whereas Express averaged only 0.8 points with a negative 4:9 balance. Although Express wins 60% of their home games, SC Villa maintains a 40% away win rate with superior efficiency (18% shot conversion vs 14%) and better game control (50% possession vs 46%). The higher xG for the hosts (1.28) in home matches does not outweigh the visitors' advantage in quality and form, making SC Villa the favorite for this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
ExpressSC Villa
7Shots8
ExpressSC Villa
6Shots on target3
ExpressSC Villa
1.32xG1.12
ExpressSC Villa
5Corners3
ExpressSC Villa
62Dangerous attacks55
ExpressSC Villa
10Fouls25
ExpressSC Villa
0Cards0
ExpressSC Villa

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game1.45
ExpressSC Villa
1.27Goals allowed / game0.64
ExpressSC Villa
42%Average possession46%
ExpressSC Villa
3.27Shots on target / game3.18
ExpressSC Villa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.09Shots per game7.55
ExpressSC Villa
3.27Shots on target3.18
ExpressSC Villa
12.4%Shot conversion19.3%
ExpressSC Villa
42%Possession46%
ExpressSC Villa
1.24xG for1.28
ExpressSC Villa
1.79xG against1.32
ExpressSC Villa

Shooting quality

Express: Counter-attackingSC Villa: Counter-attacking
ExpressSC Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)40%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.46

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

SC Villa is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Express · 2 pts / game - SC Villa

Express
DLWLL
Season result split
27% W27% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-5
1.09 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 2.13BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 60%
SC Villa
WDLWW
Season result split
64% W18% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-2
2.09 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

SC Villa is 45% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Express · 1.45 goals / game - SC Villa

SC Villa is 98% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.27 goals / game - Express · 0.64 goals / game - SC Villa

Express scoring profile: mixed

Express scores in 45% of games (5 of 11 meczów), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 meczów).

SC Villa scoring profile: very strong

SC Villa scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 meczów), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 meczów).

11Goals scored (season)16
ExpressSC Villa
14Goals conceded (season)7
ExpressSC Villa
2.27Average goals per game2.09
ExpressSC Villa
4Goals scored (last 5)6
ExpressSC Villa
9Goals conceded (last 5)2
ExpressSC Villa

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal91%
ExpressSC Villa
18%2 goals36%
ExpressSC Villa
18%3 goals18%
ExpressSC Villa
18%4 goals0%
ExpressSC Villa

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal55%
ExpressSC Villa
36%2 goals9%
ExpressSC Villa
18%3 goals0%
ExpressSC Villa
9%4 goals0%
ExpressSC Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time0%
ExpressSC Villa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ExpressSC Villa
18%Scored in both halves18%
ExpressSC Villa

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
ExpressSC Villa
27%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
ExpressSC Villa
0%BTTS - last 520%
ExpressSC Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
ExpressSC Villa
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time9%
ExpressSC Villa
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ExpressSC Villa

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
ExpressSC Villa
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
ExpressSC Villa
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
ExpressSC Villa

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Express - half-time state
27% leading45% draw27% trailing
SC Villa - half-time state
27% leading45% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per game (1st half)1.27
ExpressSC Villa
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.36
ExpressSC Villa
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
ExpressSC Villa
1Average goals (1st half)0.64
ExpressSC Villa
64%Clean sheet before half-time73%
ExpressSC Villa
64%No goal before half-time73%
ExpressSC Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.09Points per game (2nd half)2.09
ExpressSC Villa
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)1
ExpressSC Villa
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.27
ExpressSC Villa
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.27
ExpressSC Villa
45%Clean sheet after half-time73%
ExpressSC Villa
73%No goal after half-time27%
ExpressSC Villa

Express - second-half results

27% W27% R45% P
14
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

SC Villa - second-half results

55% W45% R0% P
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding237%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Express - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
SC Villa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Express
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

SC Villa
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
3
0
46-60
6
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.18
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

SC Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
165%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

ExpressLigaSC Villa
Average goals per game 2.272.34 2.09
Both teams scored 27%46% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%42% 45%
Clean sheets 36%32% 45%
Goal before half-time 64%61% 55%
Goal after half-time 73%62% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / game
0.88
Away goals / game
+66%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defensive advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

Frank Ssebuufu⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SC VillaGoalFrank Ssebuufu

FAQ

What was the result of Express vs SC Villa?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Express 0:1 SC Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Express vs SC Villa?

Express score 1.00 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.45. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Express's matches and 45% of SC Villa's.

What form are Express and SC Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Express have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and SC Villa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Express vs SC Villa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.