Express vs UPDF: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Express vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Express plays UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game is scheduled for October 15, 2026. Venue: Mutesa II Wankulukuku Stadium.
Recent form
Express has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. UPDF has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.25 points per game.
Scoring records
Express scores 0.60 goals per game and allows 0.80. UPDF scores 0.50 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 20% of Express's games and 25% of UPDF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 25%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Express has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.25 per game. Express takes 10.4 shots per game, while UPDF takes 6.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Express leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. UPDF leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Express's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For UPDF, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Express | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
UPDF is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Express · 1.25 pts / game - UPDF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Express is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
0.6 goals / game - Express · 0.5 goals / game - UPDF
UPDF is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.8 goals / game - Express · 0.5 goals / game - UPDF
Express scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 games).
UPDF scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 games), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Express
Over / Under - UPDF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UPDF is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / game - Express · 1.5 pts / game - UPDF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Express - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 25% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Express
UPDF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Express | Liga | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.40 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 37% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 40% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 67% | ▼ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Express's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against UPDF. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do Express and UPDF play?
Express face UPDF on October 15, 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Mutesa II Wankulukuku Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Express and UPDF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Express won 2, UPDF won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Express vs UPDF?
Express score 0.60 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Express's matches and 25% of UPDF's.
What form are Express and UPDF in?
Over the last 5 games Express have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and UPDF 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Express vs UPDF?
The statistical background for Express vs UPDF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.