Fafe vs Varzim: match statistics
Fafe shows solid form at their home stadium with a 57% win rate and an impressive +4 goal difference in home matches. The hosts maintain high average possession (55%) and demonstrate offensive efficiency with 1.29 goals per game and an xG of 1.79. Varzim achieves only a 17% win rate in away matches with 50% draws, indicating a defensive mindset; however, their negative goal difference (-1) and lower xG stats (1.06) suggest limited offensive capabilities. Recent form is balanced (Fafe 1.4 PPG, Varzim 1.2 PPG), but the hosts' home advantage and higher scoring efficiency favor their victory. However, Varzim's tendency to draw on the road must be considered, increasing the probability of a shared points scenario.
Fafe vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fafe played against Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Fafe has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Varzim has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Fafe scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.29. Varzim scores 1.36 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.13 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Fafe's games and 57% of Varzim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 43%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fafe has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.31 per game. Fafe takes 11.9 shots per game, while Varzim takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Fafe leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Varzim leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fafe's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Varzim, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.13 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fafe shows solid form at their home stadium with a 57% win rate and an impressive +4 goal difference in home matches. The hosts maintain high average possession (55%) and demonstrate offensive efficiency with 1.29 goals per game and an xG of 1.79. Varzim achieves only a 17% win rate in away matches with 50% draws, indicating a defensive mindset; however, their negative goal difference (-1) and lower xG stats (1.06) suggest limited offensive capabilities. Recent form is balanced (Fafe 1.4 PPG, Varzim 1.2 PPG), but the hosts' home advantage and higher scoring efficiency favor their victory. However, Varzim's tendency to draw on the road must be considered, increasing the probability of a shared points scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fafe | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Varzim is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Fafe · 1.2 pts / game - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Fafe · 1.36 goals / game - Varzim
Varzim is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Fafe · 1 goals / game - Varzim
Fafe scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).
Varzim scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fafe
Over / Under - Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varzim is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Fafe · 1.14 pts / game - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fafe
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Fafe | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.43 | 2.13 | ▲ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 34% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Fafe's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Varzim. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fafe vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished Fafe 1:0 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fafe vs Varzim?
Fafe score 1.14 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.36. The Liga 3 average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Fafe's matches and 57% of Varzim's.
What form are Fafe and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games Fafe have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Varzim 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fafe vs Varzim?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fafe vs Varzim: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.