Japan - J1 LeagueData current as of October 17, 2026

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Fagiano Okayama plays Mito Hollyhock in J1 League (Japan). The game is scheduled for October 21, 2026.

Recent form

Fagiano Okayama has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Mito Hollyhock has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Fagiano Okayama scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.33. Mito Hollyhock scores 1.33 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 78% of Fagiano Okayama's games and 78% of Mito Hollyhock's. The Over 2.5 rates are 78% and 44%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fagiano Okayama has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.19 per game. Fagiano Okayama takes 14.2 shots per game, while Mito Hollyhock takes 11.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Fagiano Okayama leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Mito Hollyhock leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Fagiano Okayama's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Mito Hollyhock, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J1 League games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
1.33Goals scored / game1.33
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
1.33Goals allowed / game1.44
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
44%Average possession45%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
3.11Shots on target / game3.56
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.22Shots per game11.33
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
3.11Shots on target3.56
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
9.4%Shot conversion11.8%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
44%Possession45%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
1.49xG for1.19
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
1.16xG against1.65
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

Shooting quality

Fagiano Okayama: AttackingMito Hollyhock: Balanced
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
Accuracy (shots on target)22%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fagiano Okayama is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Fagiano Okayama · 0.8 pts / game - Mito Hollyhock

Fagiano Okayama
WWWLL
Season result split
44% W11% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-4
1.44 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Mito Hollyhock
WDLLL
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.94Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fagiano Okayama is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.33 goals / game - Fagiano Okayama · 1.44 goals / game - Mito Hollyhock

Fagiano Okayama scoring profile: very strong

Fagiano Okayama scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Mito Hollyhock keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).

Mito Hollyhock scoring profile: very strong

Mito Hollyhock scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Fagiano Okayama keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

12Goals scored (season)12
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
12Goals conceded (season)13
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
2.67Average goals per game2.78
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
9Goals scored (last 5)6
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
33%2 goals22%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
11%3 goals22%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0%4 goals11%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal100%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
56%2 goals44%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0%3 goals0%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0%4 goals0%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time11%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
33%Scored in both halves22%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

BTTS and goal count

78%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
100%BTTS - last 560%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mito Hollyhock is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Fagiano Okayama · 1.44 pts / game - Mito Hollyhock

Fagiano Okayama - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing
Mito Hollyhock - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.44
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.11
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
22%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
33%No goal before half-time56%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per game (2nd half)0.78
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
1Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
56%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
44%No goal after half-time44%
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock

Fagiano Okayama - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
9
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mito Hollyhock - second-half results

11% W44% D44% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fagiano Okayama - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.60
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game2.01.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5
Mito Hollyhock - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.40
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.4
Average goals per game0.62.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Fagiano Okayama
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Mito Hollyhock
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
78%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Fagiano Okayama

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Mito Hollyhock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Fagiano OkayamaLigaMito Hollyhock
Average goals per game▼ 2.672.91▼ 2.78
Both teams scored▲ 78%59%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 78%53%▼ 44%
Clean sheets• 22%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%88%• 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / game
1.34
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Fagiano Okayama and Mito Hollyhock play?

Fagiano Okayama face Mito Hollyhock on October 21, 2026 in J1 League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?

Fagiano Okayama score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mito Hollyhock 1.33. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Fagiano Okayama's matches and 78% of Mito Hollyhock's.

What form are Fagiano Okayama and Mito Hollyhock in?

Over the last 5 games Fagiano Okayama have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mito Hollyhock 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.