Falkirk vs Aberdeen: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a highly balanced encounter between two teams currently in poor form. Falkirk has secured just 0.8 points per game in their last 5 outings, a record matched by Aberdeen. The hosts hold home advantage, yet a 56% draw rate on their own turf suggests difficulties in breaking down opponents. Aberdeen displays very poor away efficiency (44% FTS%, averaging only 0.78 goals), posing limited offensive threat. Both sides register similar xG metrics and an average of 1.33 goals conceded, further confirming the tight nature of the match. Considering the recent form of both teams (losing streaks) and the statistical data, a draw appears the most probable scenario, though a marginal edge is conceded to the hosts due to the home venue.
Falkirk vs Aberdeen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Falkirk played against Aberdeen in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Falkirk has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Aberdeen has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Falkirk scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.42. Aberdeen scores 1.05 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Falkirk's games and 37% of Aberdeen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 32%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aberdeen has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.32 per game. Falkirk takes 11.5 shots per game, while Aberdeen takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Falkirk leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Aberdeen leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Falkirk's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Aberdeen, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a highly balanced encounter between two teams currently in poor form. Falkirk has secured just 0.8 points per game in their last 5 outings, a record matched by Aberdeen. The hosts hold home advantage, yet a 56% draw rate on their own turf suggests difficulties in breaking down opponents. Aberdeen displays very poor away efficiency (44% FTS%, averaging only 0.78 goals), posing limited offensive threat. Both sides register similar xG metrics and an average of 1.33 goals conceded, further confirming the tight nature of the match. Considering the recent form of both teams (losing streaks) and the statistical data, a draw appears the most probable scenario, though a marginal edge is conceded to the hosts due to the home venue.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Falkirk | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Aberdeen is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Falkirk · 1.4 pts / game - Aberdeen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aberdeen is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Falkirk · 1.21 goals / game - Aberdeen
Falkirk scores in 63% of games (12 of 19 meczów), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
Aberdeen scores in 63% of games (12 of 19 meczów), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Falkirk
Over / Under - Aberdeen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aberdeen is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.74 pts / game - Falkirk · 1.05 pts / game - Aberdeen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Falkirk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Aberdeen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Falkirk
Aberdeen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Falkirk | Liga | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.47 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Falkirk's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Aberdeen. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Falkirk vs Aberdeen?
The Premiership match finished Falkirk 1:0 Aberdeen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Aberdeen?
Falkirk score 1.05 goals per game on average and Aberdeen 1.05. The Premiership average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Falkirk's matches and 37% of Aberdeen's.
What form are Falkirk and Aberdeen in?
Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Aberdeen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Aberdeen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Falkirk vs Aberdeen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.