Scotland - PremiershipData current as of 20 July 2026

Falkirk vs Celtic: match statistics

Falkirk crest
Falkirk
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Celtic crest
Celtic
125%(5.90)
X20%(4.10)
255%(1.42)

Celtic displays significantly superior form and statistics compared to Falkirk. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with 13 wins this season, while the hosts languish in 6th with just 8 victories. Celtic is distinguished by their dominance in possession (averaging 68% away vs 50% for Falkirk at home) and a higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.42), indicating superior quality in chance creation. Falkirk draws 50% of their home matches, suggesting difficulties in closing out games, with a home win rate of just 30%. Celtic wins 50% of their away fixtures and, despite a recent defeat, has secured 9 points from their last 5 matches overall, demonstrating solid form. Based on all statistical metrics, Celtic is the clear favorite for this encounter.

Falkirk vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Falkirk play Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 14 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Falkirk: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Celtic: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Falkirk scores 1.32 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Celtic scores 1.92 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Falkirk 53%, Celtic 58%. Over 2.5: Falkirk 58%, Celtic 68%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Celtic has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.34. Falkirk: 11.8 shots per match, Celtic: 16.4.

Match halves

Falkirk: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Celtic: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.05.

Goals by minute

Falkirk: 61-75 (12 goals). Celtic: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.

Match description

Celtic displays significantly superior form and statistics compared to Falkirk. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with 13 wins this season, while the hosts languish in 6th with just 8 victories. Celtic is distinguished by their dominance in possession (averaging 68% away vs 50% for Falkirk at home) and a higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.42), indicating superior quality in chance creation. Falkirk draws 50% of their home matches, suggesting difficulties in closing out games, with a home win rate of just 30%. Celtic wins 50% of their away fixtures and, despite a recent defeat, has secured 9 points from their last 5 matches overall, demonstrating solid form. Based on all statistical metrics, Celtic is the clear favorite for this encounter.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
FalkirkCeltic
11Shots7
FalkirkCeltic
6Shots on target2
FalkirkCeltic
1.52xG1.13
FalkirkCeltic
3Corners4
FalkirkCeltic
55Dangerous attacks75
FalkirkCeltic
8Fouls10
FalkirkCeltic
0Cards1
FalkirkCeltic

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.32Goals scored / match1.92
FalkirkCeltic
1.63Goals conceded / match1.08
FalkirkCeltic
51%Average possession66%
FalkirkCeltic
3.76Shots on target / match5.55
FalkirkCeltic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.79Shots per match16.45
FalkirkCeltic
3.76Shots on target5.55
FalkirkCeltic
11.2%Shot conversion11.7%
FalkirkCeltic
51%Possession66%
FalkirkCeltic
1.34xG for1.9
FalkirkCeltic
1.48xG against1.07
FalkirkCeltic

Shooting quality

Falkirk: BalancedCeltic: Dominant
FalkirkCeltic
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Celtic is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Falkirk · 3 pts / match - Celtic

Falkirk
LWLLL
Season result split
37% W18% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-17
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-8
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Celtic
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
68% W11% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
26-4-8
2.16 pts / match · goal difference +32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-3-5
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Celtic is 45% better for: goals scored per match.

1.32 goals / match - Falkirk · 1.92 goals / match - Celtic

Celtic is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Falkirk · 1.08 goals / match - Celtic

Falkirk scoring profile: strong

Falkirk scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Celtic scoring profile: very strong

Celtic scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

50Goals scored (season)73
FalkirkCeltic
62Goals conceded (season)41
FalkirkCeltic
2.95Average goals in match3
FalkirkCeltic
5Goals scored (last 5)14
FalkirkCeltic
14Goals conceded (last 5)6
FalkirkCeltic

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal87%
FalkirkCeltic
37%2 goals61%
FalkirkCeltic
16%3 goals34%
FalkirkCeltic
5%4 goals11%
FalkirkCeltic

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal66%
FalkirkCeltic
45%2 goals37%
FalkirkCeltic
26%3 goals5%
FalkirkCeltic
8%4 goals0%
FalkirkCeltic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time26%
FalkirkCeltic
8%BTTS in both halves5%
FalkirkCeltic
18%Scored in both halves45%
FalkirkCeltic

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
FalkirkCeltic
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
FalkirkCeltic
60%BTTS - last 5100%
FalkirkCeltic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
FalkirkCeltic
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
FalkirkCeltic
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
FalkirkCeltic

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
FalkirkCeltic
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
FalkirkCeltic
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
FalkirkCeltic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Celtic is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.95 pts / match - Falkirk · 1.76 pts / match - Celtic

Falkirk - half-time state
21% leading32% draw47% trailing
Celtic - half-time state
45% leading42% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.95Points per match (1st half)1.76
FalkirkCeltic
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.87
FalkirkCeltic
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
FalkirkCeltic
1.47Average goals (1st half)1.37
FalkirkCeltic
39%Clean sheet before half-time61%
FalkirkCeltic
68%No goal before half-time32%
FalkirkCeltic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.79
FalkirkCeltic
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)1.05
FalkirkCeltic
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
FalkirkCeltic
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.63
FalkirkCeltic
47%Clean sheet after half-time58%
FalkirkCeltic
42%No goal after half-time37%
FalkirkCeltic

Falkirk - second-half results

39% W24% R37% P
36
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Celtic - second-half results

50% W29% R21% P
67
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
68
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Falkirk - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match2.00.8
Average goals in match2.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-8-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Celtic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match1.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match2.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Falkirk
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
8
12
16-30
6
18
31-45
10
9
46-60
12
8
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
11
6
0-15
9
7
16-30
13
6
31-45
9
12
46-60
12
6
61-75
19
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Falkirk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.83
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

FalkirkLigaCeltic
Average goals in match 2.952.78 3.00
Both teams scored 53%52% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%53% 68%
Clean sheets 24%28% 34%
Goal before half-time 74%76% 82%
Goal after half-time 87%80% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Falkirk 0 - 0 - 3 Celtic. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Falkirk vs Celtic?

The Premiership match finished Falkirk 0:1 Celtic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Celtic?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 0, Celtic won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Celtic?

Falkirk score 1.32 goals per game on average and Celtic 1.92. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Falkirk's matches and 58% of Celtic's.

What form are Falkirk and Celtic in?

Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Celtic 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Celtic?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.