Scotland - PremiershipData current as of September 11, 2026

Falkirk vs Celtic: match statistics

Falkirk crest
Falkirk
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Celtic crest
Celtic
125%(5.90)
X20%(4.10)
255%(1.42)

Celtic displays significantly superior form and statistics compared to Falkirk. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with 13 wins this season, while the hosts languish in 6th with just 8 victories. Celtic is distinguished by their dominance in possession (averaging 68% away vs 50% for Falkirk at home) and a higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.42), indicating superior quality in chance creation. Falkirk draws 50% of their home matches, suggesting difficulties in closing out games, with a home win rate of just 30%. Celtic wins 50% of their away fixtures and, despite a recent defeat, has secured 9 points from their last 5 matches overall, demonstrating solid form. Based on all statistical metrics, Celtic is the clear favorite for this encounter.

Falkirk vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Falkirk played against Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Falkirk has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Celtic has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Falkirk scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.29. Celtic scores 1.81 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Falkirk's games and 43% of Celtic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 62%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Celtic has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.36 per game. Falkirk takes 11.9 shots per game, while Celtic takes 17.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Falkirk leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Celtic leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.95 after halftime.

When the teams score

Falkirk's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Celtic, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Celtic displays significantly superior form and statistics compared to Falkirk. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with 13 wins this season, while the hosts languish in 6th with just 8 victories. Celtic is distinguished by their dominance in possession (averaging 68% away vs 50% for Falkirk at home) and a higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.42), indicating superior quality in chance creation. Falkirk draws 50% of their home matches, suggesting difficulties in closing out games, with a home win rate of just 30%. Celtic wins 50% of their away fixtures and, despite a recent defeat, has secured 9 points from their last 5 matches overall, demonstrating solid form. Based on all statistical metrics, Celtic is the clear favorite for this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

43Possession (%)57
FalkirkCeltic
11Shots7
FalkirkCeltic
6Shots on target2
FalkirkCeltic
1.52xG1.13
FalkirkCeltic
3Corners4
FalkirkCeltic
55Dangerous attacks75
FalkirkCeltic
8Fouls10
FalkirkCeltic
0Cards1
FalkirkCeltic

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.1Goals scored / game1.81
FalkirkCeltic
1.29Goals allowed / game1
FalkirkCeltic
51%Average possession70%
FalkirkCeltic
3.86Shots on target / game5.67
FalkirkCeltic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.95Shots per game17.33
FalkirkCeltic
3.86Shots on target5.67
FalkirkCeltic
9.2%Shot conversion10.4%
FalkirkCeltic
51%Possession70%
FalkirkCeltic
1.36xG for1.98
FalkirkCeltic
1.49xG against0.95
FalkirkCeltic

Shooting quality

Falkirk: BalancedCeltic: Dominant
FalkirkCeltic
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Falkirk
LWLWW
Season result split
38% W29% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-7
1.43 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Celtic
WWLLW
Season result split
62% W10% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-6
1.95 pts / game · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-4
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.27Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Celtic is 65% better for: goals scored per game.

1.1 goals / game - Falkirk · 1.81 goals / game - Celtic

Celtic is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.29 goals / game - Falkirk · 1 goals / game - Celtic

Falkirk scoring profile: mixed

Falkirk scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).

Celtic scoring profile: very strong

Celtic scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)38
FalkirkCeltic
27Goals conceded (season)21
FalkirkCeltic
2.38Average goals per game2.81
FalkirkCeltic
4Goals scored (last 5)12
FalkirkCeltic
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
FalkirkCeltic

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal81%
FalkirkCeltic
33%2 goals48%
FalkirkCeltic
10%3 goals33%
FalkirkCeltic
0%4 goals19%
FalkirkCeltic

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal52%
FalkirkCeltic
38%2 goals38%
FalkirkCeltic
19%3 goals10%
FalkirkCeltic
5%4 goals0%
FalkirkCeltic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time14%
FalkirkCeltic
0%BTTS in both halves5%
FalkirkCeltic
10%Scored in both halves29%
FalkirkCeltic

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
FalkirkCeltic
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
FalkirkCeltic
0%BTTS - last 560%
FalkirkCeltic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
FalkirkCeltic
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
FalkirkCeltic
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
FalkirkCeltic

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
FalkirkCeltic
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
FalkirkCeltic
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
FalkirkCeltic

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Celtic is 138% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.76 pts / game - Falkirk · 1.81 pts / game - Celtic

Falkirk - half-time state
14% leading33% draw52% trailing
Celtic - half-time state
48% leading38% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.76Points per game (1st half)1.81
FalkirkCeltic
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.86
FalkirkCeltic
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
FalkirkCeltic
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.24
FalkirkCeltic
48%Clean sheet before half-time71%
FalkirkCeltic
81%No goal before half-time43%
FalkirkCeltic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per game (2nd half)1.71
FalkirkCeltic
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.95
FalkirkCeltic
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
FalkirkCeltic
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.57
FalkirkCeltic
57%Clean sheet after half-time57%
FalkirkCeltic
43%No goal after half-time48%
FalkirkCeltic

Falkirk - second-half results

48% W19% D33% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding271%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Celtic - second-half results

48% W29% D24% L
38
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Falkirk - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.00
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.41.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Celtic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.401.40
Goals scored / game1.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game2.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Falkirk
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
6
16-30
2
9
31-45
6
2
46-60
7
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
7
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
4
8
46-60
6
4
61-75
10
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Falkirk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
162%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

FalkirkLigaCeltic
Average goals per game 2.382.53 2.81
Both teams scored 43%49% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%48% 62%
Clean sheets 33%29% 48%
Goal before half-time 67%74% 71%
Goal after half-time 86%78% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.12
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CelticGoalBenjamin NygrenAssist: Arne Engels
  2. CelticYellow cardKieran Tierney
  3. FalkirkSubstitutionOn: Henry CartwrightOff: Dylan Tait
  4. CelticSubstitutionOn: Johnny KennyOff: Arne Engels

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

John BeatonMatches officiated: 18
4.28Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 239%Home wins28%Draws33%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Falkirk's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Celtic. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Celtic FC
4 : 0
Falkirk FC

FAQ

What was the result of Falkirk vs Celtic?

The Premiership match finished Falkirk 0:1 Celtic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Celtic?

Falkirk score 1.10 goals per game on average and Celtic 1.81. The Premiership average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Falkirk's matches and 43% of Celtic's.

What form are Falkirk and Celtic in?

Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Celtic 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Celtic?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.