Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Falkirk demonstrates decisively better home form with a 36% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own ground. The hosts have earned an impressive 10 points (3W-1D-1L) in their last five matches overall, signaling rising form. Kilmarnock struggles immensely away—only 7% wins, a negative goal difference (-16), and a high average of conceded goals (2.14 per match). The visitors concede on average 0.95 goals more than their opponent's xG, indicating defensive problems. Possession statistics (51% vs 37%) and average shots on target (4.07 vs 3.57) also speak in Falkirk's favor. Considering all factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Kilmarnock's solid away draw percentage (43%) prevents completely ruling out a split of points.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Falkirk played against Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Falkirk has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Kilmarnock has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Falkirk scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.29. Kilmarnock scores 1.11 and allows 1.96. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Falkirk's games and 61% of Kilmarnock's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 64%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Falkirk has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.27 per game. Falkirk takes 12.2 shots per game, while Kilmarnock takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Falkirk leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Falkirk's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Kilmarnock, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Falkirk demonstrates decisively better home form with a 36% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own ground. The hosts have earned an impressive 10 points (3W-1D-1L) in their last five matches overall, signaling rising form. Kilmarnock struggles immensely away—only 7% wins, a negative goal difference (-16), and a high average of conceded goals (2.14 per match). The visitors concede on average 0.95 goals more than their opponent's xG, indicating defensive problems. Possession statistics (51% vs 37%) and average shots on target (4.07 vs 3.57) also speak in Falkirk's favor. Considering all factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Kilmarnock's solid away draw percentage (43%) prevents completely ruling out a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Falkirk | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kilmarnock is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Falkirk · 1.4 pts / game - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Falkirk is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Falkirk · 1.96 goals / game - Kilmarnock
Falkirk scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 meczów), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
Kilmarnock scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Falkirk
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Falkirk · 1.25 pts / game - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Falkirk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Falkirk | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.43 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Falkirk's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kilmarnock. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Falkirk 5:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Kilmarnock?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 2, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Falkirk score 1.14 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.11. The Premiership average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Falkirk's matches and 61% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Falkirk and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kilmarnock 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.