Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of September 08, 2026

Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics

Fasil Ketema crest
Fasil Ketema
0 : 2half-time 0:0
Ethiopia Bunna crest
Ethiopia Bunna
155%(2.65)
X30%(2.70)
215%(2.75)

Fasil Ketema presents impressive home form, remaining unbeaten this season with 57% wins and an astounding 71% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts concede an average of just 0.29 goals per home match, which constitutes a massive defensive asset. Ethiopia Bunna shows weaker efficiency in away matches, failing to score in 50% of games and securing only 33% wins on the road. The difference in form over the last five matches is distinct – Fasil Ketema earns 1.8 points per match, while the guests average just 1.0. Given the hosts' solid defense, their unbeaten home run, and the guests' scoring struggles away, we predict a victory for Fasil Ketema, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high draw percentage (43%) in home matches.

Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Fasil Ketema played against Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 0:2.

Recent form

Fasil Ketema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Ethiopia Bunna has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Fasil Ketema scores 0.77 goals per game and allows 0.23. Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.85 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 1.71 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 23% of Fasil Ketema's games and 46% of Ethiopia Bunna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 38%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fasil Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.18 per game. Fasil Ketema takes 9.0 shots per game, while Ethiopia Bunna takes 7.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopia Bunna leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.31 after halftime.

When the teams score

Fasil Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Ethiopia Bunna, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.71 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Fasil Ketema presents impressive home form, remaining unbeaten this season with 57% wins and an astounding 71% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts concede an average of just 0.29 goals per home match, which constitutes a massive defensive asset. Ethiopia Bunna shows weaker efficiency in away matches, failing to score in 50% of games and securing only 33% wins on the road. The difference in form over the last five matches is distinct – Fasil Ketema earns 1.8 points per match, while the guests average just 1.0. Given the hosts' solid defense, their unbeaten home run, and the guests' scoring struggles away, we predict a victory for Fasil Ketema, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high draw percentage (43%) in home matches.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
6Shots5
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
1Shots on target3
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.74xG0.73
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
3Corners4
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
39Dangerous attacks27
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
18Fouls8
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0Cards0
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.77Goals scored / game0.85
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.23Goals allowed / game1.08
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
45%Average possession53%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
3.23Shots on target / game2.38
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9Shots per game7.77
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
3.23Shots on target2.38
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
8.5%Shot conversion10.9%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
45%Possession53%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
1.27xG for1.18
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
1.19xG against1.15
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

Shooting quality

Fasil Ketema: BalancedEthiopia Bunna: Balanced
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
Accuracy (shots on target)36%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fasil Ketema is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 1 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna

Fasil Ketema
DWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
46% W54% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-0
1.92 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Ethiopia Bunna
DDLWL
Season result split
31% W23% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-6
1.15 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ethiopia Bunna is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

0.77 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 0.85 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna

Fasil Ketema is 370% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.23 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.08 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna

Fasil Ketema scoring profile: strong

Fasil Ketema scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).

Ethiopia Bunna scoring profile: more difficult

Ethiopia Bunna scores in 62% of games (8 of 13 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 77% (10 of 13 meczów).

10Goals scored (season)11
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
3Goals conceded (season)14
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
1Average goals per game1.92
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
1Goals conceded (last 5)6
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal62%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
8%2 goals23%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%3 goals0%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%4 goals0%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

How often they concede at least...

23%1 goal69%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%2 goals23%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%3 goals15%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%4 goals0%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

42%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time31%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%Scored in both halves15%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
20%BTTS - last 560%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

31%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
8%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

2nd half

46%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
15%Min. 2 goals after half-time15%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fasil Ketema is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.31 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna

Fasil Ketema - half-time state
23% leading77% draw0% trailing
Ethiopia Bunna - half-time state
23% leading62% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per game (1st half)1.31
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.08Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.38Average goals (1st half)1.15
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
92%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
69%No goal before half-time46%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

After half-time (2nd half)

1.54Points per game (2nd half)1.08
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)0.31
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.15Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
0.62Average goals (2nd half)0.77
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
85%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna
62%No goal after half-time77%
Fasil KetemaEthiopia Bunna

Fasil Ketema - second-half results

31% W62% R8% P
19
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results

23% W38% R38% P
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Fasil Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.80
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game0.00.8
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Ethiopia Bunna - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game0.80.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%100%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Fasil Ketema
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ethiopia Bunna
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
0
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.47
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
86%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Fasil Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.96
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
27%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Ethiopia Bunna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Fasil KetemaLigaEthiopia Bunna
Average goals per game 1.001.71 1.92
Both teams scored 23%42% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%27% 38%
Clean sheets 77%39% 31%
Goal before half-time 31%57% 62%
Goal after half-time 46%57% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.71
Average goals per game
42%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.85
Home goals / game
0.86
Away goals / game
+-1%
Home attack advantage
+-1%
Home defensive advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

Abubakar Adamu⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Ethiopia BunnaGoalAbubakar Adamu

FAQ

What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 0:2 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Fasil Ketema score 0.77 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 0.85. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 46% of Ethiopia Bunna's.

What form are Fasil Ketema and Ethiopia Bunna in?

Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.