Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
Fasil Ketema showcases solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 63% clean sheets at their home ground, making them a tough opponent at home. However, their recent overall form is mixed (wdldw), and an average of just 0.75 goals per home match indicates offensive struggles. Kedus Giorgis has a weaker away record (33% wins, 44% losses) and a concerning 44% of matches without scoring away from home, although their possession (52%) and xG (1.32) suggest offensive potential. The visitors' recent form (dlwld) and a wwwllddll series in away matches show inconsistency. Considering the hosts' defensive strength combined with their attacking issues and the visitors' away inconsistency, the most likely scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for Fasil Ketema.
Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fasil Ketema played against Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Fasil Ketema has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Kedus Giorgis has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Fasil Ketema scores 0.81 goals per game and allows 0.44. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.88 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Fasil Ketema's games and 29% of Kedus Giorgis's. The Over 2.5 rates are 6% and 12%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kedus Giorgis has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.20 per game. Fasil Ketema takes 8.5 shots per game, while Kedus Giorgis takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Kedus Giorgis leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fasil Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Kedus Giorgis, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fasil Ketema showcases solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 63% clean sheets at their home ground, making them a tough opponent at home. However, their recent overall form is mixed (wdldw), and an average of just 0.75 goals per home match indicates offensive struggles. Kedus Giorgis has a weaker away record (33% wins, 44% losses) and a concerning 44% of matches without scoring away from home, although their possession (52%) and xG (1.32) suggest offensive potential. The visitors' recent form (dlwld) and a wwwllddll series in away matches show inconsistency. Considering the hosts' defensive strength combined with their attacking issues and the visitors' away inconsistency, the most likely scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for Fasil Ketema.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fasil Ketema is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 1 pts / game - Kedus Giorgis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
0.81 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 0.88 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis
Fasil Ketema is 61% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.44 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 0.71 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis
Fasil Ketema scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of games (10 of 17 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 69% (11 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.41 pts / game - Kedus Giorgis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fasil Ketema
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.25 | 1.72 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 6% | 27% | ▼ 12% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 69% | 41% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 31% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Fasil KetemaGoalMignot Debebe
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 1:0 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Fasil Ketema score 0.81 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.88. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 29% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.