Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fasil Ketema played against Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on December 29, 2025. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Fasil Ketema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Mebrat Hayl has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Fasil Ketema scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 0.27. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.73 and allows 0.36. Games in this league average 1.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Fasil Ketema's games and 18% of Mebrat Hayl's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 9%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fasil Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.13 per game. Fasil Ketema takes 9.4 shots per game, while Mebrat Hayl takes 7.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Mebrat Hayl leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fasil Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Mebrat Hayl, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.84 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fasil Ketema is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
0.82 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 0.73 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl
Fasil Ketema is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.27 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 0.36 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl
Fasil Ketema scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 73% (8 of 11 meczów).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 73% (8 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 0.82 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fasil Ketema
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.09 | 1.84 | ▼ 1.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 46% | ▼ 18% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▼ 9% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 73% | 35% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 36% | 59% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 1:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Fasil Ketema score 0.82 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.73. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 18% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.