Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Mekelakeya presents a significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 1.73 goals per away match with a 20% conversion rate, whereas Fasil Ketema scores an average of only 0.73 goals in home matches. The visitors boast a much higher average ball possession (60% vs 44%) and record more shots on target (3.45 vs 3), which proves their offensive dominance. Fasil Ketema is going through a crisis of form, losing four of their last five matches and earning merely 0.2 points per game, which drastically weakens their chances. Mekelakeya has a positive away goal difference (+6) and a 45% win rate, making them the favorite in this clash. Additionally, the visitors score in 91% of their away matches, which, given the hosts' poor form, gives them a clear advantage to claim the victory.
Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fasil Ketema played against Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 13, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Fasil Ketema has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Mekelakeya has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 goals per game and allows 0.65. Mekelakeya scores 1.25 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 30% of Fasil Ketema's games and 42% of Mekelakeya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 29%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.15 per game. Fasil Ketema takes 7.3 shots per game, while Mekelakeya takes 8.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fasil Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Mekelakeya, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya presents a significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 1.73 goals per away match with a 20% conversion rate, whereas Fasil Ketema scores an average of only 0.73 goals in home matches. The visitors boast a much higher average ball possession (60% vs 44%) and record more shots on target (3.45 vs 3), which proves their offensive dominance. Fasil Ketema is going through a crisis of form, losing four of their last five matches and earning merely 0.2 points per game, which drastically weakens their chances. Mekelakeya has a positive away goal difference (+6) and a 45% win rate, making them the favorite in this clash. Additionally, the visitors score in 91% of their away matches, which, given the hosts' poor form, gives them a clear advantage to claim the victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelakeya is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.2 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 69% better for: goals scored per game.
0.74 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.25 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Fasil Ketema is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.65 goals / game - Fasil Ketema · 0.88 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Fasil Ketema scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 meczów).
Mekelakeya scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 57% (13 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - Fasil Ketema · 1.71 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 38%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fasil Ketema
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.39 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 41% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 30% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 58% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Fasil Ketema's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Mekelakeya. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 0:0 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
Fasil Ketema score 0.74 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.25. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 42% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.