Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği: match statistics
Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fatih Karagümrük played against Gençlerbirliği in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Fatih Karagümrük has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Gençlerbirliği has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 1.71. Gençlerbirliği scores 0.97 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's games and 52% of Gençlerbirliği's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 52%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fatih Karagümrük has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.11 per game. Fatih Karagümrük takes 10.8 shots per game, while Gençlerbirliği takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Fatih Karagümrük leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Gençlerbirliği leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fatih Karagümrük's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Gençlerbirliği, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Süper Lig games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Fatih Karagümrük) based on superiority in chance creation and finishing. At home Fatih averages 10.73 shots and 3.2 on target per match versus Gençlerbirliği’s 8.53 shots and 2.2 on target away, with average xG 1.15 vs 0.92, indicating higher offensive quality for the hosts. Fatih averages 1.00 goal at home and has an FTS of 40%, while the visitors score just 0.6 goals away and fail to score in 53% of away matches; additionally the hosts record 27% clean sheets versus 13% for the visitors. Both teams concede 1.47 goals per match, but xG against is worse for the visitors (1.8 vs 1.5), suggesting greater defensive vulnerability on Gençlerbirliği’s side. Although the visitors have better recent form across the last 5 matches (PPG 1.2 vs hosts’ 0.8), shot metrics, xG and efficiency favor a home victory, with a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season BTTS rate is 56% for Fatih Karagümrük and 47% for Gençlerbirliği, with league BTTS at 54%, providing an initial signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. Both teams concede on average around 1.38 (home) and 1.47 (away) goals per game, and xG against is 1.46 for Karagümrük and 1.80 for Gençlerbirliği, indicating realistic scoring opportunities for both sides. The hosts generate more attacking threat: xG 1.28 and 4.13 shots on target per game with an 11% conversion, while the visitors have xG 0.92, 2.2 shots on target and a 7% conversion; however, the visitors keep a clean sheet in only 13% of matches. Counterarguments are weaker recent BTTS form: in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred at 40% for the hosts and 20% for the visitors, and recent scoring averages over the last 5 are only 0.6 and 0.8 goals, which reduces confidence in the pick. Weighing season BTTS metrics (56%/47%), relatively high average goals conceded (1.38/1.47) and the visitors' low clean sheet percentage, I recommend BTTS - Yes with a 60% probability versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I expect a total of ~2.73 goals: home 1.54 (xG_for 1.28 vs xG_against visitors 1.80) and visitors 1.19 (xG_for 0.92 vs xG_against home 1.46). This translates to a high probability for Over 1.5 — I assess it at 76% (Under 24%), which aligns with seasonal Over1.5 rates: home 75% and visitors 53%. The 2.5 line is less decisive: I give Over 52%/Under 48%, consistent with the league average Over2.5 52% and the seasonal 56% (home) vs 47% (visitors). I rate Over 3.5 at 30% (Under 70%) — home have 25% of matches with ≥4 goals, visitors only 13%, so a higher total is less likely. Additionally, the home side creates more chances (12.19 shots and 4.13 SOT vs 8.53 and 2.2) and have better conversion 11% vs 7%, which strengthens Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I rate HT/FT 1/1 as the most likely outcome because the home side led at the break in 44% of matches (7 cases) versus 13% for the away side (2 cases). Fatih Karagümrük has a clear offensive edge: xG 1.28 versus 0.92, averaging 12.19 shots and 4.13 shots on target per match versus 8.53 and 2.2 for Gençlerbirliği, and the season goals-per-game of 1.31 versus 0.6 confirms greater scoring potency. At half-time the hosts average 0.63 goals and the visitors 0.27, and 81% of home matches had at least one goal before the break (vs 60% for away matches), which increases the likelihood of a goal before half-time is blown. Additionally, the hosts win 38% of matches compared to just 7% for Gençlerbirliği, and the visitors concede 1.8 xG against, so a scenario where the home side takes the lead at the break and maintains it through to full-time appears the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fatih Karagümrük | Gençlerbirliği | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fatih Karagümrük is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Fatih Karagümrük · 0.6 pts / game - Gençlerbirliği
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gençlerbirliği is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - Fatih Karagümrük · 0.97 goals / game - Gençlerbirliği
Gençlerbirliği is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.42 goals / game - Gençlerbirliği
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 58% of games (18 of 31 meczów), while Gençlerbirliği keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
Gençlerbirliği scores in 61% of games (19 of 31 meczów), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
Over / Under - Gençlerbirliği
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gençlerbirliği is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / game - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.26 pts / game - Gençlerbirliği
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 16%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gençlerbirliği - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Fatih Karagümrük | Liga | Gençlerbirliği | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.58 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Fatih Karagümrük's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Gençlerbirliği. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?
The Süper Lig match finished Fatih Karagümrük 1:0 Gençlerbirliği. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?
Fatih Karagümrük score 0.87 goals per game on average and Gençlerbirliği 0.97. The Süper Lig average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's matches and 52% of Gençlerbirliği's.
What form are Fatih Karagümrük and Gençlerbirliği in?
Over the last 5 games Fatih Karagümrük have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gençlerbirliği 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?
The statistical background for Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.