Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor: match statistics
Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fatih Karagümrük played against Rizespor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The game was played on April 5, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Fatih Karagümrük has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Rizespor has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.74. Rizespor scores 1.23 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's games and 50% of Rizespor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 50%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rizespor has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.17 per game. Fatih Karagümrük takes 10.7 shots per game, while Rizespor takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Fatih Karagümrük leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Rizespor leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fatih Karagümrük's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Rizespor, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Süper Lig games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rizespor holds both a results and statistical advantage: they sit 11th versus Fatih Karagümrük’s 18th, have 7 wins this season compared to the home side’s 4, and a superior goal record — 32 scored and 36 conceded versus 24 scored and 47 conceded. In the last 5 matches the visitors have won 3 times and average 1.8 points per game, while the hosts have won 2 and average 1.4 points per game. Away, Rizespor scores 1.46 goals on average and fail to score in only 23% of fixtures, whereas Fatih at home average 0.92 goals and have 46% of matches without a goal, which clearly favors the visitors’ attacking efficiency. Additionally, the visitors average 11.85 shots (3.85 on target) and have average xG 1.28 versus the hosts’ 10.69 shots (3.08 on target) and xG 1.13; with a similar average of goals conceded (1.46) I forecast a narrow Rizespor win with a realistic risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes — the primary signal is the away side’s seasonal BTTS at 69% versus the home 31% and the league average of 54%. Both teams concede over 1 goal per game (home 1.31, away 1.46), increasing the likelihood of the opponent scoring. xG shows home xG_for 1.36, away xG_for 1.28, while opposing defenses have xG_against 1.51 and 1.57, so both sides produce roughly 1.3 expected goals against this opponent. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 6 and conceded 5 (1.2 and 1.0) with BTTS 40%, whereas the away team scored 7 and conceded 5 (1.4 and 1.0) but their BTTS in the last 5 is only 20%, which lowers confidence. Considering the away 69% seasonal BTTS, the league average 54%, and the noted xG and conceded goals averages, I estimate BTTS probability at about 62% and No Goal at 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based model: Fatih Karagümrük’s attacking xG is 1.36, Rizespor’s attacking xG is 1.28; averaging with xG conceded to the opponent (1.57 for Rizespor and 1.51 for Fatih) yields expected goals of 1.47 for the home side and 1.40 for the away side, total 2.87. That is 0.28 goals above the league average of 2.59, which shifts the distribution toward a higher goal count and increases the probability of exceeding the 2.5 line compared to season rates of 46% (home) and 54% (away). The strongest signal is for the 1.5 line: Fatih has Over1.5 in 62% of matches, Rizespor in 77%, and a Poisson based on 2.87 gives about a 78% chance of at least 2 goals. Additionally, Rizespor is more efficient (on average 11.85 shots with a 12.0% conversion vs. 13.15 shots and 8.0% conversion for Fatih), which elevates the risk of goals for both teams. As a result I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal; Over 2.5 is rated as moderately likely (~55%), and Over 3.5 as less certain (~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Both teams have similar attacking metrics: xG 1.36 for Fatih versus 1.28 for Rizespor and on average 3.77 vs 3.85 shots on target, indicating an evenly matched and low-conversion game. Rizespor records 54% draws on the road, while Fatih are level at half-time in 46% of their home matches, increasing the probability of a draw at the break. Additionally, Fatih keep a clean sheet at half-time in 77% of home fixtures and have an average of 0.77 goals by half-time versus 1.31 for Rizespor — the differences are small and first halves are frequently low-scoring. Considering these figures along with low shot conversion (8% vs 12%) and seasonal goals-per-game averages of 2.31 vs 2.92, the strongest signal from the data is a draw at half-time and a draw after 90 minutes (X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fatih Karagümrük | Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rizespor is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Fatih Karagümrük · 2 pts / game - Rizespor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rizespor is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.23 goals / game - Rizespor
Rizespor is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.74 goals / game - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.38 goals / game - Rizespor
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 59% of games (16 of 27 meczów), while Rizespor keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
Rizespor scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
Over / Under - Rizespor
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rizespor is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / game - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.31 pts / game - Rizespor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Rizespor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fatih Karagümrük
Rizespor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Fatih Karagümrük | Liga | Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.63 | 2.58 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Fatih Karagümrük's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Rizespor. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
The Süper Lig match finished Fatih Karagümrük 2:1 Rizespor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
Fatih Karagümrük score 0.89 goals per game on average and Rizespor 1.23. The Süper Lig average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's matches and 50% of Rizespor's.
What form are Fatih Karagümrük and Rizespor in?
Over the last 5 games Fatih Karagümrük have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rizespor 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.