FC Arouca vs CD Nacional: match statistics
The match is shaping up as an evenly contested clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. FC Arouca is showing better form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to CD Nacional (0.8 PPG), however, the hosts struggle in home games, winning only 27% of their matches and conceding an average of over 2 goals per game. CD Nacional performs better on the road, failing to score in only 18% of away matches and maintaining a solid goal difference (-2 in away matches). The xG statistics are very similar for both teams, suggesting an even quality of play. Considering CD Nacional's high percentage of draws away (36%) and the uncertain form of the hosts at home, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although Arouca's slight form advantage gives them marginally better chances of victory.
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FC Arouca played against CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
FC Arouca has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. CD Nacional has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
FC Arouca scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 2.23. CD Nacional scores 1.23 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of FC Arouca's games and 59% of CD Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.19 per game. FC Arouca takes 10.3 shots per game, while CD Nacional takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
FC Arouca leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. CD Nacional leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
FC Arouca's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For CD Nacional, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up as an evenly contested clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. FC Arouca is showing better form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to CD Nacional (0.8 PPG), however, the hosts struggle in home games, winning only 27% of their matches and conceding an average of over 2 goals per game. CD Nacional performs better on the road, failing to score in only 18% of away matches and maintaining a solid goal difference (-2 in away matches). The xG statistics are very similar for both teams, suggesting an even quality of play. Considering CD Nacional's high percentage of draws away (36%) and the uncertain form of the hosts at home, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although Arouca's slight form advantage gives them marginally better chances of victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FC Arouca | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
FC Arouca is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - FC Arouca · 0.8 pts / game - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.23 goals / game - FC Arouca · 1.41 goals / game - CD Nacional
FC Arouca scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
CD Nacional scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Arouca
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / game - FC Arouca · 1.32 pts / game - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Arouca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 23%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FC Arouca
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| FC Arouca | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from FC Arouca's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against CD Nacional. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished FC Arouca 0:0 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
FC Arouca score 1.27 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.23. The Liga NOS average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 55% of FC Arouca's matches and 59% of CD Nacional's.
What form are FC Arouca and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games FC Arouca have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.