Portugal - Liga NOSData current as of 19 July 2026

FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora: match statistics

FC Arouca crest
FC Arouca
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Estrela Amadora crest
Estrela Amadora

FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

FC Arouca play Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

FC Arouca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Estrela Amadora: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

FC Arouca scores 1.38 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Estrela Amadora scores 1.12 and concedes 1.65. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: FC Arouca 56%, Estrela Amadora 47%. Over 2.5: FC Arouca 68%, Estrela Amadora 53%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

FC Arouca has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.15. FC Arouca: 10.7 shots per match, Estrela Amadora: 10.8.

Match halves

FC Arouca: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.85. Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

FC Arouca: 61-75 (12 goals). Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

FC Arouca holds a home advantage: they average 1.50 goals per home match and fail to score in only 29% of home games, while Estrela Amadora average 0.93 goals on the road and fail to score in 50% of away fixtures. The hosts produce better quality chances — Arouca’s average xG is 1.26 versus Estrela’s 0.94, with average shots 10.57 vs 8.29, shots on target 4.21 vs 3.21 and a higher conversion rate 14% vs 11%. Defensively both teams concede goals (Arouca 1.93 per home match, Estrela 1.86 on the road), however Estrela have a worse away record: 50% away losses and average xG against 1.72 versus Arouca’s 43% home losses and xG against 1.47. In the last 5 matches Arouca average 1.2 points per game (2 wins, 3 losses), Estrela 0.8 points per game (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses); additionally Arouca win 36% of home matches while Estrela win 14% of away games. Considering the advantage in offensive efficiency (1.50 vs 0.93 goals), higher xG (1.26 vs 0.94) and lower share of matches without scoring (29% vs 50%), I tip the home win.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
11Shots15
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
4Shots on target3
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
1.15xG1.45
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
4Corners3
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
23Dangerous attacks40
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
15Fouls11
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
5Cards1
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
1.38Goals scored / match1.12
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
1.88Goals conceded / match1.65
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
50%Average possession47%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
3.59Shots on target / match3.56
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.71Shots per match10.82
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
3.59Shots on target3.56
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
12.9%Shot conversion10.3%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
50%Possession47%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
1.2xG for1.15
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
1.45xG against1.53
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

Shooting quality

FC Arouca: BalancedEstrela Amadora: Balanced
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FC Arouca is 400% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - FC Arouca · 0.4 pts / match - Estrela Amadora

FC Arouca
WLDWW
Season result split
35% W18% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-16
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-6
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Estrela Amadora
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W35% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-12-16
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Arouca is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - FC Arouca · 1.12 goals / match - Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.88 goals / match - FC Arouca · 1.65 goals / match - Estrela Amadora

FC Arouca scoring profile: very strong

FC Arouca scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Estrela Amadora scoring profile: strong

Estrela Amadora scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

47Goals scored (season)38
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
64Goals conceded (season)56
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
3.26Average goals in match2.76
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
10Goals scored (last 5)5
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal56%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
38%2 goals29%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
26%3 goals18%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
0%4 goals6%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal76%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
56%2 goals56%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
29%3 goals21%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
15%4 goals9%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time18%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
6%BTTS in both halves9%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
24%Scored in both halves21%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
80%BTTS - last 560%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

FC Arouca - half-time state
21% leading41% draw38% trailing
Estrela Amadora - half-time state
21% leading38% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.03Points per match (1st half)1
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.56
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
0.94Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
1.47Average goals (1st half)1.29
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
47%Clean sheet before half-time44%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
59%No goal before half-time68%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.15
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
1.79Average goals (2nd half)1.47
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
35%Clean sheet after half-time41%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora
44%No goal after half-time56%
FC AroucaEstrela Amadora

FC Arouca - second-half results

32% W29% R38% P
35
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Estrela Amadora - second-half results

26% W35% R38% P
34
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FC Arouca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Estrela Amadora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

FC Arouca
ScoredConceded
9
10
0-15
2
8
16-30
7
14
31-45
11
9
46-60
12
9
61-75
6
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Estrela Amadora
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
6
5
16-30
8
11
31-45
4
13
46-60
9
12
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

FC Arouca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
158%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Estrela Amadora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

FC AroucaLigaEstrela Amadora
Average goals in match 3.262.68 2.76
Both teams scored 56%48% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%54% 53%
Clean sheets 21%29% 24%
Goal before half-time 71%69% 71%
Goal after half-time 85%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: FC Arouca 0 - 0 - 1 Estrela Amadora. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora?

The Liga NOS match finished FC Arouca 1:0 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora?

FC Arouca score 1.38 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 1.12. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 56% of FC Arouca's matches and 47% of Estrela Amadora's.

What form are FC Arouca and Estrela Amadora in?

Over the last 5 games FC Arouca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora?

The statistical background for FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.