Portugal - Liga NOSData current as of September 12, 2026

FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães: match statistics

130%(2.88)
X25%(3.00)
245%(2.21)

Vitória Guimarães are showing better form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to FC Arouca (1.4 PPG), indicating their momentum advantage. Arouca have very poor home results, winning just 20% of home matches and conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, while Guimarães show a higher xG (1.4) in away matches than Arouca at home (1.24). The visitors also boast better defensive efficiency on the road (44% clean sheets) and a higher average possession (51% vs 49%). Arouca are 14th in the table with a -10 home goal difference, highlighting their difficulties in defending their home ground. Taking all these factors into account, Vitória Guimarães have a real chance to secure three points in this encounter.

FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

FC Arouca played against Vitória Guimarães in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

FC Arouca has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Vitória Guimarães has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

FC Arouca scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 2.20. Vitória Guimarães scores 1.05 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of FC Arouca's games and 35% of Vitória Guimarães's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 40%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Vitória Guimarães has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.19 per game. FC Arouca takes 10.4 shots per game, while Vitória Guimarães takes 13.2.

First-half and second-half trends

FC Arouca leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Vitória Guimarães leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.55 after halftime.

When the teams score

FC Arouca's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Vitória Guimarães, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga Portugal games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Vitória Guimarães are showing better form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to FC Arouca (1.4 PPG), indicating their momentum advantage. Arouca have very poor home results, winning just 20% of home matches and conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, while Guimarães show a higher xG (1.4) in away matches than Arouca at home (1.24). The visitors also boast better defensive efficiency on the road (44% clean sheets) and a higher average possession (51% vs 49%). Arouca are 14th in the table with a -10 home goal difference, highlighting their difficulties in defending their home ground. Taking all these factors into account, Vitória Guimarães have a real chance to secure three points in this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
10Shots14
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
6Shots on target6
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1.24xG1.7
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1Corners6
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
25Dangerous attacks54
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
19Fouls15
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1Cards4
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1.15Goals scored / game1.05
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
2.2Goals allowed / game1.35
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
50%Average possession49%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
3.25Shots on target / game3.5
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.45Shots per game13.2
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
3.25Shots on target3.5
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
11%Shot conversion8%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
50%Possession49%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1.19xG for1.4
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1.47xG against1.36
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

Shooting quality

FC Arouca: BalancedVitória Guimarães: Balanced
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
Accuracy (shots on target)31%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

FC Arouca
DLWLW
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-10
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Vitória Guimarães
DWLLW
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-8
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Arouca is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

1.15 goals / game - FC Arouca · 1.05 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães

Vitória Guimarães is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.2 goals / game - FC Arouca · 1.35 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães

FC Arouca scoring profile: strong

FC Arouca scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).

Vitória Guimarães scoring profile: strong

Vitória Guimarães scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)21
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
44Goals conceded (season)27
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
3.35Average goals per game2.4
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
8Goals scored (last 5)5
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal60%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
30%2 goals30%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
20%3 goals10%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
0%4 goals5%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal65%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
60%2 goals40%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
40%3 goals20%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
25%4 goals10%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

35%
Vitória Guimarães - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 20 meczów
45%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
5%BTTS in both halves5%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
20%Scored in both halves15%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
60%BTTS - last 540%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vitória Guimarães is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / game - FC Arouca · 1.15 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães

FC Arouca - half-time state
25% leading30% draw45% trailing
Vitória Guimarães - half-time state
20% leading55% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per game (1st half)1.15
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.05
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
40%Clean sheet before half-time55%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
60%No goal before half-time65%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

After half-time (2nd half)

0.95Points per game (2nd half)1.3
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.35
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
30%Clean sheet after half-time50%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães
55%No goal after half-time60%
FC AroucaVitória Guimarães

FC Arouca - second-half results

20% W35% D45% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Vitória Guimarães - second-half results

35% W25% D40% L
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

FC Arouca - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Vitória Guimarães - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

FC Arouca
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
12
31-45
6
8
46-60
5
5
61-75
2
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Vitória Guimarães
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
5
4
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

FC Arouca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
173%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Vitória Guimarães

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

FC AroucaLigaVitória Guimarães
Average goals per game 3.352.77 2.40
Both teams scored 50%45% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%55% 40%
Clean sheets 20%30% 35%
Goal before half-time 80%72% 60%
Goal after half-time 80%78% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Vitória GuimarãesYellow cardFábio Samuel Amorim da Silva
  2. Vitória GuimarãesGoalNoah Jose Saviolo
  3. Vitória GuimarãesGoalOumar CamaraAssist: Fábio Samuel Amorim da Silva
  4. Vitória GuimarãesSubstitutionOn: Matija MitrovicOff: Fábio Samuel Amorim da Silva
  5. FC AroucaYellow cardBas Edo Kuipers
  6. Vitória GuimarãesSubstitutionOn: Gustavo da Silva CunhaOff: Oumar Camara
  7. Vitória GuimarãesYellow cardBenedito Mambuene Mukendi
  8. FC AroucaGoalHyun-ju Lee
  9. Vitória GuimarãesYellow cardDiogo Lobão Sousa
  10. Vitória GuimarãesSubstitutionOn: Orest LebedenkoOff: João Miguel Teixeira Mendes
  11. Vitória GuimarãesYellow cardRodrigo Abascal Barros

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Miguel André Monteiro FonsecaMatches officiated: 10
5.1Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 230%Home wins20%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from FC Arouca's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Vitória Guimarães. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Vitória Guimarães SC
1 : 1
FC Arouca

FAQ

What was the result of FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães?

The Liga NOS match finished FC Arouca 3:2 Vitória Guimarães. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães?

FC Arouca score 1.15 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães 1.05. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of FC Arouca's matches and 35% of Vitória Guimarães's.

What form are FC Arouca and Vitória Guimarães in?

Over the last 5 games FC Arouca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.