FC Caspiy vs Kaisar: match statistics
FC Caspiy vs Kaisar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FC Caspiy played against Kaisar in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on June 14, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
FC Caspiy has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Kaisar has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
FC Caspiy scores 0.58 goals per game and allows 1.25. Kaisar scores 0.69 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of FC Caspiy's games and 54% of Kaisar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 31%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kaisar has the higher season xG average, 1.21 to 0.95 per game. FC Caspiy takes 8.3 shots per game, while Kaisar takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
FC Caspiy leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Kaisar leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.15 after halftime.
When the teams score
FC Caspiy's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Kaisar, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.18 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Caspiy holds a tangible home advantage: they score on average 1.0 goal per home match and find the net in 75% of appearances (FTS 25%), while Kaisar register only 0.2 goals per away match and have no away wins yet (Win% 0%, FTS 80%). xG suggests created chances are comparable (FC Caspiy xG 1.20 at home vs Kaisar xG 1.15 away), but Kaisar have a higher xG against (1.9 vs 1.63) and a slightly worse goals conceded profile (on average 1.6 vs 1.5 conceded), which increases the visitors' risk. Efficiency favors the hosts: Caspiy conversion rate is 9% with an average of 3 shots on target per match vs 2% for Kaisar with 3.6 on target, meaning the visitors generate chances but convert them far less often. In the last 5 matches FC Caspiy scored 4 and conceded 4 with 1.4 points per game, whereas Kaisar scored 5 but conceded 8 and have 1.0 PPG, further supporting greater stability for the hosts. Based on this I propose a distribution of 60% for a home win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a Kaisar win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Kaisar averages only 0.2 goals per game this season and has a shot conversion rate of 2%, which significantly limits their scoring chances. FC Caspiy have a historical home BTTS of 75%, xG_for 1.26 and on average 3.88 shots on target, yet in the last 5 home matches the hosts averaged 0.8 goals and only 20% of those games ended BTTS. Kaisar concedes 1.6 goals per game on average, and in their last 5 matches they had xG_for 1.3 and 5 goals scored (1.0 per game), so recently they created chances, but the season-long return of 0.2 goals remains a critical constraint. Considering the league-level BTTS rate of 52% and a high clean sheet frequency of 61%, statistically a No Goal outcome is common; combined with Kaisar’s low efficiency (0.2; 2%) this provides a stronger signal towards "no". Therefore I assess BTTS probability at 35% and No BTTS at 65%, recommending "no".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I base the expected goals estimate on xG: FC Caspiy’s attacking xG is 1.26, while Kaisar concedes an average xG of 1.90 – yielding roughly 1.58 goals for the home side; conversely Kaisar’s attacking xG is 1.15 versus Caspiy’s conceded xG of 1.43, giving about 1.29 for the away side, total ≈2.87. A Poisson model with λ=2.87 gives probability of at least 2 goals ≈78%, and seasonally over 1.5 occurred in 75% of the home team’s matches and 80% of the away team’s matches, which strongly supports Over 1.5. The 2.5 line gives mixed signals: seasonally Over 2.5 is 38% for the home side and 20% for the away side, but in the last 5 away matches Over 2.5 was 60% – our model shows P(Over 2.5)≈55%, i.e. a moderate edge for Over. Over 3.5 looks weak seasonally (13% for the home side, 0% for the away side) and the model gives P(Over 3.5)≈32%, so Under 3.5 is a safer choice, while the strongest signal from the data is Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
FC Caspiy averages 1.00 goals per match versus Kaisar’s 0.20, with xG at 1.26 versus 1.15, indicating a home advantage in chance creation. At Half-Time Caspiy averages 0.75 goals and has led at the break in 38% of home matches (10 goals in home halves vs 3 for Kaisar), while Kaisar averages only 0.20 goals at the break and led at the break in 20% of matches, so a lead at the break for the home side is more probable. Kaisar concedes 1.6 goals per match on average and has lost 60% of fixtures this season, and in 80% of their games the away side fails to score, which significantly limits the visitors’ chances of a Full-Time win. Caspiy produces more shots (12.5 vs 10.0) and has higher conversion efficiency (8% vs 2%), therefore the strongest signal from the data is a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of home leading at the break and winning at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FC Caspiy | Kaisar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
FC Caspiy is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - FC Caspiy · 0.8 pts / game - Kaisar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kaisar is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
0.58 goals / game - FC Caspiy · 0.69 goals / game - Kaisar
FC Caspiy is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - FC Caspiy · 1.31 goals / game - Kaisar
FC Caspiy scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 meczów), while Kaisar keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
Kaisar scores in 54% of games (7 of 13 meczów), while FC Caspiy keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Caspiy
Over / Under - Kaisar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kaisar is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - FC Caspiy · 1.46 pts / game - Kaisar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Caspiy - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kaisar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 8%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FC Caspiy
Kaisar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| FC Caspiy | Liga | Kaisar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.83 | 2.18 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 70% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Caspiy vs Kaisar?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished FC Caspiy 1:2 Kaisar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Caspiy vs Kaisar?
FC Caspiy score 0.58 goals per game on average and Kaisar 0.69. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 33% of FC Caspiy's matches and 54% of Kaisar's.
What form are FC Caspiy and Kaisar in?
Over the last 5 games FC Caspiy have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kaisar 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Caspiy vs Kaisar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Caspiy vs Kaisar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.