FC Cincinnati II vs New York RB II: match statistics
FC Cincinnati II vs New York RB II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FC Cincinnati II played against New York RB II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on July 5, 2026. Venue: Northern Kentucky University Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
FC Cincinnati II has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. New York RB II has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
FC Cincinnati II scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 1.80. New York RB II scores 2.31 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of FC Cincinnati II's games and 75% of New York RB II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 81%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
New York RB II has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.25 per game. FC Cincinnati II takes 9.8 shots per game, while New York RB II takes 15.3.
First-half and second-half trends
FC Cincinnati II leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. New York RB II leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
FC Cincinnati II's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For New York RB II, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I’m backing the away win (2). New York RB II have 37 goals scored this season versus 13 for FC Cincinnati II and 12 goals in the last 5 matches versus 1 for the hosts, indicating a clear offensive edge for the visitors. The away side dominate possession (57% vs 39%), average 13.14 shots and 5 on target per away match compared to the hosts’ 10.13 shots and 3.88 on target, and their average away xG is 1.60 vs the home side’s xG at home of 1.28, which confirms superior chance quality. Form and efficiency also favor NYRB II: 1.4 points in the last 5 games versus 0.6 for FC Cincinnati II and a last-5 record of 2-1-2 for the visitors vs 1-0-4 for the hosts. The home team do have strengths at home — conceding only 1.13 goals on average in home matches, 38% clean sheets and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 10%) — but this is unlikely to offset the visitors’ goal advantage and quality of chances.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes comes from seasonal rates of 67% (FC Cincinnati II) and 86% (New York RB II) versus a league level of 62%, indicating frequent goals from both sides. The visitors have scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game), while the hosts conceded 8 in those 5 matches (1.6 per game), increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. Hosts’ seasonal offensive metrics (xG 2.02, 6.89 shots on target and 3.11 goals per game) suggest they create and convert chances, while the opponent’s defense allows on average 1.38 xG against and 1.57 goals per game. There is, however, a risk: the hosts have 0% BTTS in their last 5 matches and score only 0.2 goals per game over that span, but the visitors’ 0% clean sheets on the season and the high seasonal share of matches over 2.5 goals (89% hosts, 71% visitors) still favor both teams scoring. The sum of these signals supports the “Yes” scenario — I assess BTTS at roughly 80% versus 20% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams generate high goal potential: FC Cincinnati II has a seasonal goals average of 3.11 and xG 2.02, New York RB II 1.29 goals and xG 1.60; taking into account opponents’ xG (NYRB conceded xG 1.38, FC conceded xG 1.30), estimated expected goals are (2.02+1.38)/2 = 1.70 for the home side and (1.60+1.30)/2 = 1.45 for the away side, totaling 3.15. Historical rates confirm the high scoring potential: both teams have 100% of season matches >1.5 goals, and over 2.5 percentages are 89% (FC home) and 71% (NYRB away), with FC averaging 16.9 shots (6.9 on target) and a conversion rate of 18%, and NYRB 13.1 (5.0 on target) and 10%. A Poisson model on xG=3.15 gives about a 61% chance of at least 3 goals, while empirical seasonal averages (89% and 71% → 80% average) indicate a stronger signal; averaging these approaches I rate Over 2.5 goals at around 75%. I treat Over 1.5 as almost certain (estimate 96%) given both teams’ 100% season results >1.5, but the best line to play is Over 2.5 due to the expected 3.15 goals and high seasonOver25 (89% vs 71%). I rate Over 3.5 moderately (≈47%) — although FC has season Over 3.5 at 78%, NYRB only 14% and Poisson gave ~39%, so Under 3.5 remains a realistic risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
FC Cincinnati II led at half-time in 56% of matches (5 times this season) and average 1.22 goals by the break versus 0.43 for New York RB II, giving the hosts a clear first-half advantage. Over the whole season the home side average 3.11 goals with xG 2.02, while the visitors have 1.29 goals and xG 1.60, and the hosts win 67% of matches versus 43% for the visitors, so the season profile favors a home victory after 90 minutes. However, one must account for the hosts' poor form in the last 5 matches (record 'llllw' and only 20% wins in the last 5), while New York RB II have 40% wins in their last 5, which increases the risk of a second-half drop in effectiveness. Additionally, 67% of the hosts' matches end with both teams scoring (seasonBTTSPercentage_home 67%) and the hosts average 2.56 goals in second halves versus 1.57 for the visitors, therefore the most likely scenario is the home side leading at the break and holding the win to full-time (1/1), with a material risk of a turnaround to a draw after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati II | New York RB II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
New York RB II is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - FC Cincinnati II · 1.4 pts / game - New York RB II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB II is 166% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - FC Cincinnati II · 2.31 goals / game - New York RB II
New York RB II is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.8 goals / game - FC Cincinnati II · 1.38 goals / game - New York RB II
FC Cincinnati II scores in 53% of games (8 of 15 meczów), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
New York RB II scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 meczów), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati II
Over / Under - New York RB II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB II is 114% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / game - FC Cincinnati II · 1.56 pts / game - New York RB II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
New York RB II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FC Cincinnati II
New York RB II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati II | Liga | New York RB II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.67 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 65% | ▲ 81% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from FC Cincinnati II's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against New York RB II. Games average 4.25 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati II vs New York RB II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished FC Cincinnati II 2:2 New York RB II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati II and New York RB II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches FC Cincinnati II won 2, New York RB II won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati II vs New York RB II?
FC Cincinnati II score 0.87 goals per game on average and New York RB II 2.31. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 33% of FC Cincinnati II's matches and 75% of New York RB II's.
What form are FC Cincinnati II and New York RB II in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and New York RB II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati II vs New York RB II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Cincinnati II vs New York RB II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.