FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami: match statistics
FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati play Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The match date is 14 May 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 3:5.
Current form
FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Inter Miami: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati scores 2.40 and concedes 2.47 goals per match. Inter Miami scores 2.60 and concedes 1.87. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati 73%, Inter Miami 73%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 67%, Inter Miami 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.54. FC Cincinnati: 13.6 shots per match, Inter Miami: 16.3.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40. Inter Miami: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). Inter Miami: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Inter Miami have a season record of 6 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses with 26 goals scored, while FC Cincinnati have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses with 24 goals, giving the visitors a slight edge in points. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) and Inter scored 13 (2.6), however FC Cincinnati produces higher home xG at 1.63 versus Inter’s 1.43 on the road. Cincinnati registers more shots per game at home (15.6) with 5.4 on target, while Inter averages 12.63 shots and 5.38 on target, but the visitors have better finishing efficiency 18% versus the hosts’ 14%. Defensively the teams are similar — the hosts concede 1.4 goals per home match, the visitors 1.5 away — although Cincinnati keep more clean sheets (40% vs 25%). Considering Inter’s higher away win rate (75% vs 60%), superior shot efficiency and higher average points in the last 5 matches (2.0 vs 1.8), I favour a narrow away victory and propose a probability split of 30% home / 25% draw / 45% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Miami is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 2.4 pts / match - Inter Miami
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
2.4 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 2.6 goals / match - Inter Miami
Inter Miami is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.47 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.87 goals / match - Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Inter Miami scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati
Over / Under — Inter Miami
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.53 pts / match - Inter Miami
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.87 | 3.30 | ▲ 4.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 3:5 Inter Miami. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
FC Cincinnati score 2.40 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.60. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 73% of Inter Miami's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Inter Miami 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The statistical background for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.